HealthEcon AG, CH-4001 Basel, Switzerland.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2010 Feb;7(2):460-72. doi: 10.3390/ijerph7020460. Epub 2010 Feb 11.
In Switzerland a rapid increase in the total overweight population (BMI > or = 25) from 30.3% to 37.3% and in the obese segment (BMI > or = 30) from 5.4% to 8.1% was observed between 1992 and 2007. The objective of this study is to produce a projection until 2022 for the development of adult overweight and obesity in Switzerland based on four National Health Surveys conducted between 1992 and 2007. Based on the projection, these prevalence rates may be expected to stabilize until 2022 at the 2007 level. These results were compared with future projections estimated for France, UK, US and Australia using the same model.
在瑞士，1992 年至 2007 年间，超重人口（BMI≥25）的比例从 30.3%迅速上升至 37.3%，肥胖人群（BMI≥30）的比例从 5.4%上升至 8.1%。本研究的目的是根据 1992 年至 2007 年间进行的四次全国健康调查，对瑞士成年人超重和肥胖的发展情况进行到 2022 年的预测。基于预测，这些流行率可能会在 2022 年稳定在 2007 年的水平。这些结果与使用相同模型对法国、英国、美国和澳大利亚进行的未来预测进行了比较。
