Center for Public Health Research (CSISP), Valencia, Spain.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2010 Aug;7(8):3196-210. doi: 10.3390/ijerph7083196. Epub 2010 Aug 11.
In this study we examined the shape of the association between temperature and mortality in 13 Spanish cities representing a wide range of climatic and socio-demographic conditions. The temperature value linked with minimum mortality (MMT) and the slopes before and after the turning point (MMT) were calculated. Most cities showed a V-shaped temperature-mortality relationship. MMTs were generally higher in cities with warmer climates. Cold and heat effects also depended on climate: effects were greater in hotter cities but lesser in cities with higher variability. The effect of heat was greater than the effect of cold. The effect of cold and MMT was, in general, greater for cardio-respiratory mortality than for total mortality, while the effect of heat was, in general, greater among the elderly.
在这项研究中,我们考察了 13 个代表广泛气候和社会人口条件的西班牙城市的温度与死亡率之间的关联形状。我们计算了与最低死亡率(MMT)相关的温度值以及转折点前后的斜率(MMT)。大多数城市表现出 V 形的温度-死亡率关系。MMT 通常在气候较温暖的城市中较高。冷和热效应也取决于气候:在较热的城市中影响更大,但在变化较大的城市中影响较小。热效应大于冷效应。总的来说,冷和 MMT 的影响对于心肺死亡率大于总死亡率,而热效应在老年人中更为明显。