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一个诊断气候变化适应障碍的框架。

A framework to diagnose barriers to climate change adaptation.

机构信息

Susanne Moser Research and Consulting, Santa Cruz, CA 95060, USA.

出版信息

Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2010 Dec 21;107(51):22026-31. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1007887107. Epub 2010 Dec 6.

Abstract

This article presents a systematic framework to identify barriers that may impede the process of adaptation to climate change. The framework targets the process of planned adaptation and focuses on potentially challenging but malleable barriers. Three key sets of components create the architecture for the framework. First, a staged depiction of an idealized, rational approach to adaptation decision-making makes up the process component. Second, a set of interconnected structural elements includes the actors, the larger context in which they function (e.g., governance), and the object on which they act (the system of concern that is exposed to climate change). At each of these stages, we ask (i) what could impede the adaptation process and (ii) how do the actors, context, and system of concern contribute to the barrier. To facilitate the identification of barriers, we provide a series of diagnostic questions. Third, the framework is completed by a simple matrix to help locate points of intervention to overcome a given barrier. It provides a systematic starting point for answering critical questions about how to support climate change adaptation at all levels of decision-making.

摘要

本文提出了一个系统的框架,用于识别可能阻碍适应气候变化过程的障碍。该框架针对有计划的适应过程,并侧重于可能具有挑战性但可塑的障碍。三个关键组件集为框架构建了架构。首先,一个理想化、理性的适应决策方法的阶段性描述构成了过程组件。其次,一组相互关联的结构元素包括参与者、他们运作的更大背景(例如治理)以及他们作用的对象(面临气候变化的关注系统)。在这些阶段中的每一个阶段,我们都会问:(i)什么可能会阻碍适应过程,以及(ii)参与者、背景和关注系统如何促成障碍。为了方便识别障碍,我们提供了一系列诊断问题。第三,该框架由一个简单的矩阵完成,以帮助确定克服给定障碍的干预点。它为回答关于如何在各级决策中支持气候变化适应的关键问题提供了一个系统的起点。

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