Miller David S, Hoberg Eric, Weiser Glen, Aune Keith, Atkinson Mark, Kimberling Cleon
P.O. Box 2786, Loveland, CO 80539-2786, USA.
Vet Med Int. 2012;2012:796527. doi: 10.1155/2012/796527. Epub 2012 Mar 29.
Multiple determinants have been hypothesized to cause or favor disease outbreaks among free-ranging bighorn sheep (Ovis canadensis) populations. This paper considered direct and indirect causes of mortality, as well as potential interactions among proposed environmental, host, and agent determinants of disease. A clear, invariant relationship between a single agent and field outbreaks has not yet been documented, in part due to methodological limitations and practical challenges associated with developing rigorous study designs. Therefore, although there is a need to develop predictive models for outbreaks and validated mitigation strategies, uncertainty remains as to whether outbreaks are due to endemic or recently introduced agents. Consequently, absence of established and universal explanations for outbreaks contributes to conflict among wildlife and livestock stakeholders over land use and management practices. This example illustrates the challenge of developing comprehensive models for understanding and managing wildlife diseases in complex biological and sociological environments.
多种决定因素被认为会导致或助长野生大角羊(加拿大盘羊)种群中的疾病爆发。本文考虑了死亡的直接和间接原因,以及疾病的拟议环境、宿主和病原体决定因素之间的潜在相互作用。尚未记录到单一病原体与野外疾病爆发之间存在明确、不变的关系,部分原因是与制定严格研究设计相关的方法学限制和实际挑战。因此,尽管需要开发疾病爆发的预测模型和经过验证的缓解策略,但疾病爆发是由地方性病原体还是最近引入的病原体引起的仍存在不确定性。因此,缺乏对疾病爆发的既定和普遍解释导致野生动物和家畜利益相关者在土地使用和管理实践上产生冲突。这个例子说明了在复杂的生物和社会环境中开发全面模型以理解和管理野生动物疾病的挑战。