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巴西 1980 年至 2009 年女性乳腺癌死亡率的差异。

Disparities in female breast cancer mortality rates in Brazil between 1980 and 2009.

机构信息

Federal University of Goias, Program of Mastology, Goiania/GO, Brazil.

出版信息

Clinics (Sao Paulo). 2012 Jul;67(7):731-7. doi: 10.6061/clinics/2012(07)05.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To describe the temporal trends in female breast cancer mortality rates in Brazil in its macro-regions and states between 1980 and 2009.

METHODS

This was an ecological time-series study using data on breast cancer deaths registered in the Mortality Data System (SIM/WHO) and census data on the resident population collected by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE/WHO). Joinpoint regression analyses were used to identify the significant changes in trends and to estimate the annual percentage change (APC) in mortality rates.

RESULTS

Female breast cancer mortality rates in Brazil tended to stabilize from 1994 onward (APC = 0.4%). Considering the Brazilian macro-regions, the annual mortality rates decreased in the Southeast, stabilized in the South and increased in the Northeast, North, and Midwest. Only the states of Sao Paulo (APC = -1.9%), Rio Grande do Sul (APC = -0.8%) and Rio de Janeiro (APC = -0.6%) presented a significant decline in mortality rates. The greatest increases were found in Maranhao (APC=12%), Paraiba (APC=11.9%), and Piaui (APC=10.9%).

CONCLUSION

Although there has been a trend toward stabilization in female breast cancer mortality rates in Brazil, when the mortality rate of each macro-region and state is analyzed individually, considerable inequalities are found, with rate decline or stabilization in states with higher socioeconomic levels and a substantial increase in those with lower socioeconomic levels.

摘要

目的

描述 1980 年至 2009 年期间巴西各地区和各州女性乳腺癌死亡率的时间趋势。

方法

这是一项基于生态的时间序列研究,使用了在 Mortality Data System(SIM/WHO)登记的乳腺癌死亡数据和巴西地理与统计研究所(IBGE/WHO)收集的居民人口普查数据。Joinpoint 回归分析用于确定趋势的显著变化,并估计死亡率的年变化百分比(APC)。

结果

巴西女性乳腺癌死亡率自 1994 年以来趋于稳定(APC=0.4%)。就巴西的地区而言,东南部的年死亡率下降,南部稳定,东北部、北部和中西部上升。只有圣保罗州(APC=-1.9%)、南里奥格兰德州(APC=-0.8%)和里约热内卢州(APC=-0.6%)的死亡率呈显著下降趋势。死亡率增长最大的是马拉尼昂州(APC=12%)、帕拉州(APC=11.9%)和皮奥伊州(APC=10.9%)。

结论

尽管巴西女性乳腺癌死亡率呈稳定趋势,但当分析每个地区和州的死亡率时,发现存在相当大的不平等,社会经济水平较高的州的死亡率下降或稳定,而社会经济水平较低的州的死亡率大幅上升。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c169/3400161/382be1bda18a/cln-67-07-731-g001.jpg

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