Influenza Division, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Influenza Other Respir Viruses. 2013 Sep;7(5):710-7. doi: 10.1111/irv.12022. Epub 2012 Dec 5.
We estimated rates of influenza-associated deaths and hospitalizations in Argentina, a country that recommends annual influenza vaccination for persons at high risk of complications from influenza illness.
We identified hospitalized persons and deaths in persons diagnosed with pneumonia and influenza (P&I, ICD-10 codes J10-J18) and respiratory and circulatory illness (R&C, codes I00-I99 and J00-J99). We defined the influenza season as the months when the proportion of samples that tested positive for influenza exceeded the annual median. We used hospitalizations and deaths during the influenza off-season to estimate, using linear regression, the number of excess deaths that occurred during the influenza season. To explore whether excess mortality varied by sex and whether people were age <65 or ≥ 65 years, we used Poisson regression of the influenza-associated rates.
During 2002-2009, 2411 P&I and 8527 R&C mean excess deaths occurred annually from May to October. If all of these excess deaths were associated with influenza, the influenza-associated mortality rate was 6/100,000 person-years (95% CI 4-8/100,000 person-years for P&I and 21/100,000 person-years (95% CI 12-31/100,000 person-years) for R&C. During 2005-2008, we identified an average of 7868 P&I excess hospitalizations and 22,994 R&C hospitalizations per year, resulting in an influenza-associated hospitalization rate of 2/10,000 person-years (95% CI 1-3/10,000 person-years) for P&I and 6/10,000 person-years (95% CI 3-8/10,000 person-years) for R&C.
Our findings suggest that annual rates of influenza-associated hospitalizations and death in Argentina were substantial and similar to neighboring Brazil.
我们评估了阿根廷流感相关死亡和住院的发生率,该国推荐高风险流感并发症人群每年接种流感疫苗。
我们鉴定了因肺炎和流感(ICD-10 编码 J10-J18)和呼吸与循环系统疾病(ICD-10 编码 I00-I99 和 J00-J99)住院的患者和死亡患者。我们将流感季定义为流感病毒检测阳性样本比例超过年度中位数的月份。我们利用流感非流行季的住院和死亡人数,通过线性回归估计流感季发生的超额死亡人数。为了探索超额死亡率是否因性别而异,以及人们是否为年龄<65 岁或≥65 岁,我们使用流感相关率的泊松回归进行分析。
2002-2009 年,5 月至 10 月期间,每年发生 2411 例肺炎和流感(P&I)和 8527 例呼吸与循环系统疾病(R&C)的超额死亡。如果所有这些超额死亡都与流感相关,那么流感相关死亡率为 6/100000 人年(95%CI 4-8/100000 人年,P&I)和 21/100000 人年(95%CI 12-31/100000 人年),R&C)。2005-2008 年,我们每年平均发现 7868 例 P&I 超额住院和 22994 例 R&C 住院,导致 P&I 的流感相关住院率为 2/10000 人年(95%CI 1-3/10000 人年),R&C 为 6/10000 人年(95%CI 3-8/10000 人年)。
我们的研究结果表明,阿根廷的流感相关住院和死亡的年发生率较高,与邻国巴西相似。