The Nuffield Trust, London, UK.
Age Ageing. 2013 Jul;42(4):501-8. doi: 10.1093/ageing/aft008. Epub 2013 Feb 25.
to assess the impact of telecare on the use of social and health care. Part of the evaluation of the Whole Systems Demonstrator trial.
a total of 2,600 people with social care needs were recruited from 217 general practices in three areas in England.
a cluster randomised trial comparing telecare with usual care, general practice being the unit of randomisation. Participants were followed up for 12 months and analyses were conducted as intention-to-treat.
trial data were linked at the person level to administrative data sets on care funded at least in part by local authorities or the National Health Service.
the proportion of people admitted to hospital within 12 months. Secondary endpoints included mortality, rates of secondary care use (seven different metrics), contacts with general practitioners and practice nurses, proportion of people admitted to permanent residential or nursing care, weeks in domiciliary social care and notional costs.
46.8% of intervention participants were admitted to hospital, compared with 49.2% of controls. Unadjusted differences were not statistically significant (odds ratio: 0.90, 95% CI: 0.75-1.07, P = 0.211). They reached statistical significance after adjusting for baseline covariates, but this was not replicated when adjusting for the predictive risk score. Secondary metrics including impacts on social care use were not statistically significant.
telecare as implemented in the Whole Systems Demonstrator trial did not lead to significant reductions in service use, at least in terms of results assessed over 12 months.
评估远程医疗对社会和医疗保健的使用的影响。全系统示范试验评估的一部分。
从英格兰三个地区的 217 家全科诊所共招募了 2600 名有社会护理需求的人。
一项比较远程医疗与常规护理的集群随机试验,以全科诊所为随机单位。参与者随访 12 个月,并进行意向治疗分析。
试验数据在个人层面上与行政数据集相关联,这些数据集涵盖了至少部分由地方当局或国家卫生服务机构资助的护理。
在 12 个月内住院的人数比例。次要终点包括死亡率、二级医疗保健使用率(七种不同指标)、与全科医生和执业护士的接触次数、需要住院或护理院的人数比例、家庭社会护理周数和名义成本。
干预组中 46.8%的人住院,而对照组中为 49.2%。未经调整的差异无统计学意义(优势比:0.90,95%置信区间:0.75-1.07,P=0.211)。在调整基线协变量后,差异具有统计学意义,但在调整预测风险评分后,这种情况并未复制。包括对社会护理使用的影响的次要指标没有统计学意义。
全系统示范试验中实施的远程医疗并没有导致服务使用的显著减少,至少在 12 个月的评估结果中是这样。