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设计累加的气候变化缓解计划。

Designing climate change mitigation plans that add up.

机构信息

Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge, Trumpington Street, Cambridge CB2 1PZ, United Kingdom.

出版信息

Environ Sci Technol. 2013 Jul 16;47(14):8062-9. doi: 10.1021/es400399h. Epub 2013 Jun 25.

Abstract

Mitigation plans to combat climate change depend on the combined implementation of many abatement options, but the options interact. Published anthropogenic emissions inventories are disaggregated by gas, sector, country, or final energy form. This allows the assessment of novel energy supply options, but is insufficient for understanding how options for efficiency and demand reduction interact. A consistent framework for understanding the drivers of emissions is therefore developed, with a set of seven complete inventories reflecting all technical options for mitigation connected through lossless allocation matrices. The required data set is compiled and calculated from a wide range of industry, government, and academic reports. The framework is used to create a global Sankey diagram to relate human demand for services to anthropogenic emissions. The application of this framework is demonstrated through a prediction of per-capita emissions based on service demand in different countries, and through an example showing how the "technical potentials" of a set of separate mitigation options should be combined.

摘要

应对气候变化的缓解计划取决于许多减排措施的综合实施,但这些措施会相互作用。已公布的人为排放清单按气体、部门、国家或最终能源形式进行了细分。这使得可以评估新的能源供应选择,但不足以了解效率和需求减少选择如何相互作用。因此,开发了一个用于理解排放驱动因素的一致框架,其中包括一套通过无损分配矩阵连接的七个完整的缓解措施选择清单。所需数据集是从广泛的行业、政府和学术报告中编译和计算得出的。该框架用于创建一个全球 Sankey 图,将人类对服务的需求与人为排放联系起来。该框架的应用通过基于不同国家服务需求的人均排放量预测以及通过一个示例展示了如何组合一组单独的缓解措施的“技术潜力”来展示。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/cad8/3797518/1136f07ff968/es-2013-00399h_0001.jpg

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