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空气污染与人类生育率。

Air pollution and human fertility rates.

机构信息

Centre for Research in Environmental Epidemiology (CREAL), Barcelona, Spain; CIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Spain; UPF, Spain.

Centre for Research in Environmental Epidemiology (CREAL), Barcelona, Spain; CIBER Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Spain; UPF, Spain.

出版信息

Environ Int. 2014 Sep;70:9-14. doi: 10.1016/j.envint.2014.05.005. Epub 2014 May 28.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Some reports have suggested effects of air pollution on semen quality and success rates of in vitro fertilization (IVF) in humans and lower fertility rates in mice. However, no studies have evaluated the impact of air pollution on human fertility rates.

AIMS

We assessed the association between traffic related air pollution and fertility rates in humans in Barcelona, Spain (2011-2012). We hypothesized that higher air pollution levels would be associated with lower fertility rates.

METHODS

We calculated the general fertility rate which is the number of live births per 1000 women between the ages of 15 and 44 years per census tract. We used land use regression (LUR) modeling to estimate the air pollution concentrations (particulate matter, NO2/NOx) per census tract. We used Besag-York-Mollié models to quantify the relationship between air pollution and fertility rates with adjustment for a number of potential confounders such as maternal age and area level socio-economic status.

RESULTS

We found a statistically significant reduction of fertility rates with an increase in traffic related air pollution levels, particularly for the coarse fraction of particulate matter (IRR=0.87 95% CI 0.82, 0.94 per IQR).

CONCLUSION

This is the first study in humans to show an association between reduced fertility rates and higher traffic related air pollution levels.

摘要

背景

一些报告表明,空气污染对人类精液质量和体外受精(IVF)成功率有影响,并且会降低老鼠的生育率。然而,目前还没有研究评估空气污染对人类生育率的影响。

目的

我们评估了西班牙巴塞罗那的交通相关空气污染与人类生育率之间的关系(2011-2012 年)。我们假设较高的空气污染水平与较低的生育率有关。

方法

我们计算了一般生育率,即每 1000 名 15 至 44 岁的育龄妇女的活产婴儿数,每个普查区的生育率。我们使用基于土地利用的回归(LUR)模型来估算每个普查区的空气污染浓度(颗粒物、NO2/NOx)。我们使用 Besag-York-Mollié 模型来量化空气污染与生育率之间的关系,并调整了一些潜在的混杂因素,如母亲年龄和地区社会经济地位。

结果

我们发现,随着交通相关空气污染水平的升高,生育率呈统计学意义上的显著降低,尤其是对于颗粒物的粗颗粒部分(IRR=0.87,95%置信区间为 0.82,0.94,每 IQR 增加一个单位)。

结论

这是第一项在人类中表明生育率降低与交通相关空气污染水平升高之间存在关联的研究。

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