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在存在经典加性误差和伯克森乘性误差的暴露剂量情况下对辐射风险的估计。

Estimation of radiation risk in presence of classical additive and Berkson multiplicative errors in exposure doses.

作者信息

Masiuk S V, Shklyar S V, Kukush A G, Carroll R J, Kovgan L N, Likhtarov I A

机构信息

State Institution "National Research Center for Radiation Medicine of the National Academy of Medical Sciences of Ukraine", Melnykova str., 53, Kyiv, 04050, Ukraine; Ukrainian Radiation Protection Institute, Melnykova str., 53, Kyiv, 04050, Ukraine

Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, Volodymyrska Str. 64, Kyiv 01601, Ukraine.

出版信息

Biostatistics. 2016 Jul;17(3):422-36. doi: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxv052. Epub 2016 Jan 20.

Abstract

In this paper, the influence of measurement errors in exposure doses in a regression model with binary response is studied. Recently, it has been recognized that uncertainty in exposure dose is characterized by errors of two types: classical additive errors and Berkson multiplicative errors. The combination of classical additive and Berkson multiplicative errors has not been considered in the literature previously. In a simulation study based on data from radio-epidemiological research of thyroid cancer in Ukraine caused by the Chornobyl accident, it is shown that ignoring measurement errors in doses leads to overestimation of background prevalence and underestimation of excess relative risk. In the work, several methods to reduce these biases are proposed. They are new regression calibration, an additive version of efficient SIMEX, and novel corrected score methods.

摘要

本文研究了具有二元响应的回归模型中暴露剂量测量误差的影响。最近,人们认识到暴露剂量的不确定性由两种类型的误差表征:经典加性误差和伯克森乘性误差。经典加性误差和伯克森乘性误差的组合此前在文献中尚未被考虑。在一项基于乌克兰切尔诺贝利事故导致的甲状腺癌放射流行病学研究数据的模拟研究中,结果表明忽略剂量测量误差会导致背景患病率的高估和超额相对风险的低估。在这项工作中,提出了几种减少这些偏差的方法。它们是新的回归校准、有效SIMEX的加性版本以及新的校正得分方法。

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