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乌干达牛销售链上口蹄疫疫情的经济影响。

Economic effects of foot and mouth disease outbreaks along the cattle marketing chain in Uganda.

作者信息

Baluka Sylvia Angubua

机构信息

Department of Biosecurity, Ecosystem & Veterinary Public Health, College of Veterinary Medicine, Animal Resources & Biosecurity, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda.

出版信息

Vet World. 2016 Jun;9(6):544-53. doi: 10.14202/vetworld.2016.544-553. Epub 2016 Jun 2.

Abstract

AIM

Disease outbreaks increase the cost of animal production; reduce milk and beef yield, cattle sales, farmers' incomes, and enterprise profitability. The study assessed the economic effects of foot and mouth disease (FMD) outbreaks along the cattle marketing chain in selected study districts in Uganda.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The study combined qualitative and quantitative study designs. Respondents were selected proportionally using simple random sampling from the sampling frame comprising of 224, 173, 291, and 185 farmers for Nakasongola, Nakaseke, Isingiro, and Rakai, respectively. Key informants were selected purposively. Data analysis combined descriptive, modeling, and regression analysis. Data on the socio-economic characteristics and how they influenced FMD outbreaks, cattle markets revenue losses, and the economic cost of the outbreaks were analyzed using descriptive measures including percentages, means, and frequencies.

RESULTS

Farmers with small and medium herds incurred higher control costs, whereas large herds experienced the highest milk losses. Total income earned by the actors per month at the processing level reduced by 23%. In Isingiro, bulls and cows were salvage sold at 83% and 88% less market value, i.e., a loss of $196.1 and $1,552.9 in small and medium herds, respectively.

CONCLUSION

All actors along the cattle marketing chain incur losses during FMD outbreaks, but smallholder farmers are most affected. Control and prevention of FMD should remain the responsibility of the government if Uganda is to achieve a disease-free status that is a prerequisite for free movement and operation of cattle markets throughout the year which will boost cattle marketing.

摘要

目的

疾病爆发会增加动物养殖成本;降低牛奶和牛肉产量、牛的销售量、农民收入以及企业盈利能力。本研究评估了乌干达选定研究地区牛销售链上口蹄疫(FMD)爆发的经济影响。

材料与方法

本研究结合了定性和定量研究设计。分别从纳卡松戈拉、纳卡塞凯、伊辛吉罗和拉凯的抽样框架中按比例使用简单随机抽样选取受访者,抽样框架中的农民数量分别为224、173、291和185。有目的地选取关键信息提供者。数据分析结合了描述性、建模和回归分析。使用包括百分比、均值和频率在内的描述性方法,分析了社会经济特征数据以及它们如何影响口蹄疫爆发、牛市场收入损失和疫情的经济成本。

结果

中小规模牛群的养殖户控制成本较高,而大规模牛群的牛奶损失最大。加工层面各行为主体每月的总收入减少了23%。在伊辛吉罗,中小规模牛群中的公牛和母牛被贱卖,市场价值分别降低了83%和88%,即分别损失196.1美元和1552.9美元。

结论

在口蹄疫爆发期间,牛销售链上的所有行为主体都会遭受损失,但小农户受影响最大。如果乌干达要实现无病状态,这是牛市场全年自由流通和运营的先决条件,进而促进牛的销售,那么口蹄疫的控制和预防仍应由政府负责。

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