Ye Qing, Fu Jun-Fen, Mao Jian-Hua, Shang Shi-Qiang
Zhejiang Key Laboratory for Neonatal Diseases, The Children's Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, People's Republic of China.
Clinical Laboratory, The Children's Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, People's Republic of China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2016 Oct;23(20):20178-20185. doi: 10.1007/s11356-016-7228-6. Epub 2016 Jul 20.
This study investigated whether respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection in children was associated with ambient temperature and air pollutants in Hangzhou, China. A distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) was used to estimate the effects of daily meteorological data and air pollutants on the incidence of RSV infection among children. A total of 3650 childhood RSV infection cases were included in the study. The highest air pollutant concentrations were in January to May and October to December during the year. The yearly RSV-positive rate was 10.0 % among children with an average age of 4.3 months. The highest RSV-positive rate occurred among patients 0 to 3 months old. Children under 6.5 months old accounted for 80 % of the total patients infected by RSV. A negative correlation was found between ambient temperature and RSV infection, and it was strongest with minimum ambient temperature (r = -0.804, P < 0.001). There was a positive correlation between the infection rate and the particulate matter (PM) 2.5 (r = 0.446, P < 0.001), PM10 (r = 0.397, P < 0.001), SO (r = 0.389, P < 0.001), NO (r = 0.365, P < 0.001) and CO (r = 0.532, P < 0.001). The current study suggested that temperature was an important factor associated with RSV infection among children in Hangzhou. Air pollutants significantly increased the risk of RSV infection with dosage, lag and cumulative effects.
本研究调查了中国杭州儿童呼吸道合胞病毒(RSV)感染是否与环境温度和空气污染物有关。采用分布滞后非线性模型(DLNM)来估计每日气象数据和空气污染物对儿童RSV感染发病率的影响。该研究共纳入3650例儿童RSV感染病例。一年中空气污染物浓度最高的时段为1月至5月以及10月至12月。平均年龄为4.3个月的儿童中,年度RSV阳性率为10.0%。RSV阳性率最高的发生在0至3个月大的患者中。6.5个月以下的儿童占RSV感染总患者数的80%。发现环境温度与RSV感染之间呈负相关,与最低环境温度的相关性最强(r = -0.804,P < 0.001)。感染率与细颗粒物(PM)2.5(r = 0.446,P < 0.001)、可吸入颗粒物(PM)10(r = 0.397,P < 0.001)、二氧化硫(SO)(r = 0.389,P < 0.001)、一氧化氮(NO)(r = 0.365,P < 0.001)和一氧化碳(CO)(r = 0.532,P < 0.001)呈正相关。当前研究表明,温度是杭州儿童RSV感染的一个重要相关因素。空气污染物通过剂量、滞后和累积效应显著增加了RSV感染的风险。