Hoff Nicole A, Morier Douglas S, Kisalu Neville K, Johnston Sara C, Doshi Reena H, Hensley Lisa E, Okitolonda-Wemakoy Emile, Muyembe-Tamfum Jean Jacques, Lloyd-Smith James O, Rimoin Anne W
UCLA Fielding School of Public Health, 41-275 CHS, 650 Charles E. Young Dr. South, Los Angeles, CA, 90095, USA.
National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Ecohealth. 2017 Sep;14(3):564-574. doi: 10.1007/s10393-017-1266-5. Epub 2017 Sep 11.
From 2006 to 2007, an active surveillance program for human monkeypox (MPX) in the Democratic Republic of the Congo identified 151 cases of coinfection with monkeypox virus and varicella zoster virus from 1158 suspected cases of human MPX (13%). Using clinical and socio-demographic data collected with standardized instruments by trained, local nurse supervisors, we examined a variety of hypotheses to explain the unexpectedly high proportion of coinfections among the sample, including the hypothesis that the two viruses occur independently. The probabilities of disease incidence and selection necessary to yield the observed sample proportion of coinfections under an assumption of independence are plausible given what is known and assumed about human MPX incidence. Cases of human MPX are expected to be underreported, and more coinfections are expected with improved surveillance.
2006年至2007年,刚果民主共和国开展了一项针对人类猴痘(MPX)的主动监测计划,从1158例疑似人类MPX病例中识别出151例猴痘病毒与水痘带状疱疹病毒合并感染的病例(占13%)。我们利用经过培训的当地护士监督员使用标准化工具收集的临床和社会人口统计学数据,检验了各种假设,以解释样本中合并感染比例意外偏高的情况,包括两种病毒独立发生的假设。鉴于已知和假设的人类MPX发病率,在独立性假设下产生观察到的合并感染样本比例所需的疾病发病率和选择概率是合理的。预计人类MPX病例报告不足,加强监测后预计会发现更多合并感染病例。