Demmler Kathrin M, Klasen Stephan, Nzuma Jonathan M, Qaim Matin
Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development, University of Goettingen, Goettingen, Germany.
Department of Economics, University of Goettingen, Goettingen, Germany.
PLoS One. 2017 Sep 21;12(9):e0185148. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0185148. eCollection 2017.
While undernutrition and related infectious diseases are still pervasive in many developing countries, the prevalence of non-communicable diseases (NCD), typically associated with high body mass index (BMI), is rapidly rising. The fast spread of supermarkets and related shifts in diets were identified as possible factors contributing to overweight and obesity in developing countries. Potential effects of supermarkets on people's health have not been analyzed up till now.
This study investigates the effects of purchasing food in supermarkets on people's BMI, as well as on health indicators such as fasting blood glucose (FBG), blood pressure (BP), and the metabolic syndrome.
This study uses cross-section observational data from urban Kenya. Demographic, anthropometric, and bio-medical data were collected from 550 randomly selected adults. Purchasing food in supermarkets is defined as a binary variable that takes a value of one if any food was purchased in supermarkets during the last 30 days. In a robustness check, the share of food purchased in supermarkets is defined as a continuous variable. Instrumental variable regressions are applied to control for confounding factors and establish causality.
Purchasing food in supermarkets contributes to higher BMI (+ 1.8 kg/m2) (P<0.01) and an increased probability (+ 20 percentage points) of being overweight or obese (P<0.01). Purchasing food in supermarkets also contributes to higher levels of FBG (+ 0.3 mmol/L) (P<0.01) and a higher likelihood (+ 16 percentage points) of suffering from pre-diabetes (P<0.01) and the metabolic syndrome (+ 7 percentage points) (P<0.01). Effects on BP could not be observed.
Supermarkets and their food sales strategies seem to have direct effects on people's health. In addition to increasing overweight and obesity, supermarkets contribute to nutrition-related NCDs. Effects of supermarkets on nutrition and health can mainly be ascribed to changes in the composition of people's food choices.
虽然营养不良及相关传染病在许多发展中国家仍然普遍存在,但通常与高体重指数(BMI)相关的非传染性疾病(NCD)患病率正在迅速上升。超市的迅速扩张以及随之而来的饮食变化被认为是导致发展中国家超重和肥胖的可能因素。迄今为止,尚未分析超市对人们健康的潜在影响。
本研究调查在超市购买食品对人们BMI的影响,以及对空腹血糖(FBG)、血压(BP)和代谢综合征等健康指标的影响。
本研究使用来自肯尼亚城市的横断面观察数据。从550名随机选择的成年人中收集了人口统计学、人体测量学和生物医学数据。在超市购买食品被定义为一个二元变量,如果在过去30天内在超市购买过任何食品,则取值为1。在稳健性检验中,在超市购买食品的份额被定义为一个连续变量。采用工具变量回归来控制混杂因素并建立因果关系。
在超市购买食品会导致BMI升高(+1.8kg/m²)(P<0.01),超重或肥胖的概率增加(+20个百分点)(P<0.01)。在超市购买食品还会导致FBG水平升高(+0.3mmol/L)(P<0.01),患糖尿病前期的可能性增加(+16个百分点)(P<0.01)以及患代谢综合征的可能性增加(+7个百分点)(P<0.01)。未观察到对BP的影响。
超市及其食品销售策略似乎对人们的健康有直接影响。除了增加超重和肥胖外,超市还会导致与营养相关的非传染性疾病。超市对营养和健康的影响主要可归因于人们食物选择构成的变化。