Huang Yan-Hong, Wu Qi-Jun, Chen Yan-Ling, Jiang Cheng-Zhi, Gong Ting-Ting, Li Jing, Li Li-Li, Zhou Chen
Department of Science and Education, Shenyang Maternity and Child Health Hospital, Shenyang, China.
Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, China.
Oncotarget. 2018 Jan 13;9(18):14472-14480. doi: 10.18632/oncotarget.24239. eCollection 2018 Mar 6.
The aim of this study was to assess the prevalence and trends of congenital hydrocephalus (CH) using a large population-based sample with cases retrieved from the Liaoning Birth Defects Registry, which included 14 cities, over a 10-year period. CH prevalence, percent change, average change, and contribution rates of each city were calculated. Statistical analysis was performed using a Poisson regression model. There was a total of 3008 CH cases among 3,248,954 live births during the observational period (9.26 cases/10,000 live births). On average, the prevalence of CH had significantly decreased by 11.84% each year ( < 0.01). The three leading cities with the highest prevalence of CH were Chaoyang (13.73/10,000), Huludao (13.18/10,000), and Fuxin (12.71/10,000), while Yingkou (6.06/10,000), Dalian (6.27/10,000), and Anshan (6.56/10,000) had the lowest prevalence. Notably, significantly decreasing trends were observed in 10 (71.4%) of these 14 cities. In addition, the cities of Fushun, Shenyang, and Dalian had contributed to more than one-third of the decreasing trend in Liaoning province. In conclusion, this study provides evidence of the decreasing prevalence of CH over a 10-year period (2006-2015) in Liaoning province. Preventative efforts should be strengthened to further reduce the risk of CH in these high prevalence areas.
本研究的目的是利用一个基于大样本人群的样本评估先天性脑积水(CH)的患病率和趋势,该样本中的病例来自辽宁省出生缺陷登记处,涵盖14个城市,时间跨度为10年。计算了CH的患病率、百分比变化、平均变化以及每个城市的贡献率。使用泊松回归模型进行统计分析。在观察期内,3248954例活产中有3008例CH病例(9.26例/10000例活产)。平均而言,CH的患病率每年显著下降11.84%(<0.01)。CH患病率最高的三个主要城市是朝阳(13.73/10000)、葫芦岛(13.18/10000)和阜新(12.71/10000),而营口(6.06/10000)、大连(6.27/10000)和鞍山(6.56/10000)的患病率最低。值得注意的是,在这14个城市中有10个(71.4%)观察到显著下降趋势。此外,抚顺、沈阳和大连这三个城市对辽宁省下降趋势的贡献率超过三分之一。总之,本研究提供了辽宁省在10年期间(2006 - 2015年)CH患病率下降的证据。应加强预防措施,以进一步降低这些高患病率地区CH的风险。