Public Health England, Centre for Radiation, Chemical and Environmental Hazards, Chilton, Didcot, Oxfordshire, OX11 0RQ, UK.
Br J Cancer. 2018 Aug;119(5):631-637. doi: 10.1038/s41416-018-0184-9. Epub 2018 Aug 15.
This study provides direct evidence of cancer risk from low dose and dose rate occupational external radiation exposures.
Cancer mortality and incidence were studied in relation to external radiation exposure in the National Registry for Radiation Workers. A cohort of 167,003 workers followed for an average of 32 years was analysed using Poisson regression methods.
Mortality and incidence risks were significantly raised for the group of all malignant neoplasms excluding leukaemia (ERR/Sv mortality = 0.28; 90%CI: 0.06, 0.53, ERR/Sv incidence = 0.28; 90%CI: 0.10, 0.48) but with narrower confidence bounds compared with the previous analysis of this cohort reflecting the increased statistical power from the additional 10 years of follow-up information. The linear trends in relative risk for both mortality and incidence of these cancers remained statistically significantly raised when information relating to cumulative doses above 100 mSv was excluded (ERR/Sv mortality = 1.42; 90%CI: 0.51, 2.38 and ERR/Sv incidence = 1.18; 90%CI: 0.47, 1.92).
This study improved the precision of the cancer risk estimates seen in the third analysis of the NRRW cohort. The overall results remain consistent with the risk estimates from the Life Span Study and those adopted in the current ICRP recommendations.
本研究提供了低剂量和剂量率职业外照射致癌风险的直接证据。
使用泊松回归方法,根据国家放射工作人员登记处的外照射暴露情况,研究了癌症死亡率和发病率与外部辐射暴露的关系。对平均随访 32 年的 167003 名工人进行了分析。
排除白血病后,所有恶性肿瘤(ERR/Sv 死亡率=0.28;90%CI:0.06,0.53,ERR/Sv 发病率=0.28;90%CI:0.10,0.48)的死亡率和发病率风险显著升高,但置信区间较本队列先前分析更窄,这反映了由于额外 10 年随访信息而增加了统计效力。当排除累积剂量超过 100mSv 的信息时,这些癌症的死亡率和发病率的相对风险线性趋势仍然具有统计学意义(ERR/Sv 死亡率=1.42;90%CI:0.51,2.38 和 ERR/Sv 发病率=1.18;90%CI:0.47,1.92)。
本研究提高了 NRRW 队列第三次分析中癌症风险估计的精度。总体结果与生命期研究和现行 ICRP 建议中采用的风险估计值一致。