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科学还是教练的眼光?两者皆有!多维测量与教练评估的有益协作,助力精英青年足球人才的高效选拔。

Science or Coaches' Eye? - Both! Beneficial Collaboration of Multidimensional Measurements and Coach Assessments for Efficient Talent Selection in Elite Youth Football.

机构信息

Institute of Sport Science, University of Bern, Switzerland.

出版信息

J Sports Sci Med. 2019 Feb 11;18(1):32-43. eCollection 2019 Mar.

Abstract

Due to the tremendous popularity of youth football, practitioners in this domain face the ongoing question of the most effective solutions in early talent selection. Although the scientific community has suggested multidimensional models for some time, coach assessments and motor performance tests remain common. Earlier research has determined the strengths and weaknesses within these different approaches. The current investigation directly compared the effectiveness of each approach in talent selection (coach assessment vs. motor performance tests vs. multidimensional data). A sample of 117 youth football players, their parents, and coaches participated in multidimensional measurements in the U14 age category (coach assessments, motor performance tests, psychological characteristics, familial support, training history, and biological maturation). The area under the curve (AUC [95% CI]) from receiver operating characteristic indicated the prognostic validity of each approach in predicting U19 player status five years after the assessments (professional vs. non-professional). Motor performance tests (0.71 [0.58; 0.84]) showed a lower AUC than the multidimensional data (0.85 [0.76; 0.94], = 0.02), whilst coach assessments did not differ from the two others (.82 [.74; .90]). Further, combined talent selection approaches, especially the use of coach assessments and multidimensional data together, were significantly better at predicting U19 player status (0.93 [0.87; 0.98], = 0.02 vs. multidimensional data only). Although certain limitations may impede further insights (summation of data, skipped use of non-linear statistics), scientific claims for using multidimensionality within talent selection were confirmed to be fruitful. In particular, the combination of the subjective coaches' eye with scientific data may buffer the mutual weaknesses of these different approaches. Future research should focus on optimizing the output of promising multidimensional models. Knowledge of detailed values relating to specific dimensions within these models and the implementation of enhanced non-linear statistics may enable further improvements in the field of talent selection.

摘要

由于青少年足球的极高人气,该领域的从业者不断面临着在早期人才选拔中找到最有效解决方案的问题。尽管科学界已经提出了多维模型有一段时间了,但教练评估和运动表现测试仍然很常见。早期的研究已经确定了这些不同方法的优缺点。当前的研究直接比较了每种方法在人才选拔中的有效性(教练评估与运动表现测试与多维数据)。在 U14 年龄组中,117 名青年足球运动员、他们的父母和教练参加了多维测量(教练评估、运动表现测试、心理特征、家庭支持、训练历史和生物成熟度)。来自受试者工作特征曲线下的面积(AUC[95%CI])表明,每种方法在预测评估五年后 U19 球员地位方面的预后准确性(职业与非职业)。运动表现测试(0.71[0.58;0.84])的 AUC 低于多维数据(0.85[0.76;0.94],=0.02),而教练评估与其他两者没有差异(0.82[0.74;0.90])。此外,综合人才选拔方法,尤其是使用教练评估和多维数据相结合,在预测 U19 球员地位方面明显更好(0.93[0.87;0.98],=0.02 与多维数据相比)。尽管某些限制可能会阻碍进一步的研究(数据汇总、非线性统计的省略使用),但使用多维性进行人才选拔的科学主张被证明是富有成效的。特别是,主观教练的眼光与科学数据的结合可能会缓冲这些不同方法的相互弱点。未来的研究应集中于优化有前途的多维模型的输出。了解这些模型中特定维度的详细值以及实施增强的非线性统计数据可能会在人才选拔领域进一步提高。

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