Patel Brijesh, Sengupta Partho
Heart and Vascular Institute, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV, USA.
Expert Rev Cardiovasc Ther. 2020 Feb;18(2):77-84. doi: 10.1080/14779072.2020.1732208. Epub 2020 Feb 23.
: With the increase in the number of patients with cardiovascular diseases, better risk-prediction models for cardiovascular events are needed. Statistical-based risk-prediction models for cardiovascular events (CVEs) are available, but they lack the ability to predict individual-level risk. Machine learning (ML) methods are especially equipped to handle complex data and provide accurate risk-prediction models at the individual level.: In this review, the authors summarize the literature comparing the performance of machine learning methods to that of traditional, statistical-based models in predicting CVEs. They provide a brief summary of ML methods and then discuss risk-prediction models for CVEs such as major adverse cardiovascular events, heart failure and arrhythmias.: Current evidence supports the superiority of ML methods over statistical-based models in predicting CVEs. Statistical models are applicable at the population level and are subject to overfitting, while ML methods can provide an individualized risk level for CVEs. Further prospective research on ML-guided treatments to prevent CVEs is needed.
随着心血管疾病患者数量的增加,需要更好的心血管事件风险预测模型。目前已有基于统计的心血管事件风险预测模型,但它们缺乏预测个体水平风险的能力。机器学习(ML)方法特别适合处理复杂数据,并能在个体水平上提供准确的风险预测模型。
在本综述中,作者总结了比较机器学习方法与传统基于统计的模型在预测心血管事件方面性能的文献。他们简要概述了机器学习方法,然后讨论了心血管事件的风险预测模型,如主要不良心血管事件、心力衰竭和心律失常。
当前证据支持机器学习方法在预测心血管事件方面优于基于统计的模型。统计模型适用于人群水平,且容易出现过拟合,而机器学习方法可以为心血管事件提供个性化的风险水平。需要进一步开展关于机器学习指导治疗以预防心血管事件的前瞻性研究。