Center for Open Science, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America.
University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, United States of America.
PLoS Biol. 2020 Mar 27;18(3):e3000691. doi: 10.1371/journal.pbio.3000691. eCollection 2020 Mar.
Credibility of scientific claims is established with evidence for their replicability using new data. According to common understanding, replication is repeating a study's procedure and observing whether the prior finding recurs. This definition is intuitive, easy to apply, and incorrect. We propose that replication is a study for which any outcome would be considered diagnostic evidence about a claim from prior research. This definition reduces emphasis on operational characteristics of the study and increases emphasis on the interpretation of possible outcomes. The purpose of replication is to advance theory by confronting existing understanding with new evidence. Ironically, the value of replication may be strongest when existing understanding is weakest. Successful replication provides evidence of generalizability across the conditions that inevitably differ from the original study; Unsuccessful replication indicates that the reliability of the finding may be more constrained than recognized previously. Defining replication as a confrontation of current theoretical expectations clarifies its important, exciting, and generative role in scientific progress.
科学主张的可信度是通过新数据对其可重复性进行验证来确立的。根据普遍的理解,复制是指重复研究的过程,并观察先前的发现是否重现。这个定义直观、易于应用,但却是错误的。我们提出,复制是指任何结果都将被视为对先前研究主张的诊断证据的研究。这个定义减少了对研究操作特征的重视,增加了对可能结果的解释的重视。复制的目的是通过用新证据来挑战现有理解,从而推进理论。具有讽刺意味的是,当现有理解最薄弱时,复制的价值可能最大。成功的复制提供了证据,表明在与原始研究必然不同的条件下具有普遍性;不成功的复制则表明,发现的可靠性可能比以前认识到的更受限制。将复制定义为当前理论预期的挑战,明确了它在科学进步中具有重要、令人兴奋和创造性的作用。