Hart Andrew, Maxim Laura, Siegrist Michael, Von Goetz Natalie, da Cruz Cristina, Merten Caroline, Mosbach-Schulz Olaf, Lahaniatis Majlinda, Smith Anthony, Hardy Anthony
EFSA J. 2019 Jan 16;17(1):e05520. doi: 10.2903/j.efsa.2019.5520. eCollection 2019 Jan.
This document provides guidance for communicators on how to communicate the various expressions of uncertainty described in EFSA's document: 'Guidance on uncertainty analysis in scientific assessments'. It also contains specific guidance for assessors on how best to report the various expressions of uncertainty. The document provides a template for identifying expressions of uncertainty in scientific assessments and locating the specific guidance for each expression. The guidance is structured according to EFSA's three broadly defined categories of target audience: 'entry', 'informed' and 'technical' levels. Communicators should use the guidance for entry and informed audiences, while assessors should use the guidance for the technical level. The guidance was formulated using evidence from the scientific literature, grey literature and two EFSA research studies, or based on judgement and reasoning where evidence was incomplete or missing. The limitations of the evidence sources inform the recommendations for further research on uncertainty communication.
本文件为传播者提供了指导，说明如何传达欧洲食品安全局（EFSA）文件《科学评估中的不确定性分析指南》中所述的各种不确定性表述。它还包含了评估者如何以最佳方式报告各种不确定性表述的具体指导。该文件提供了一个模板，用于识别科学评估中的不确定性表述，并找到每种表述的具体指导。该指导是根据EFSA大致定义的三类目标受众构建的：“入门”、“有一定知识基础”和“专业技术”水平。传播者应使用针对入门和有一定知识基础受众的指导，而评估者应使用针对专业技术水平的指导。该指导是根据科学文献、灰色文献和EFSA的两项研究得出的证据制定的，或者在证据不完整或缺失的情况下基于判断和推理制定的。证据来源的局限性为不确定性传播的进一步研究建议提供了依据。
