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泰国曼谷地区大气 PM 所致年度死亡率评估。

An Assessment of Annual Mortality Attributable to Ambient PM in Bangkok, Thailand.

机构信息

Institute for the Environment, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC 27599, USA.

The Joint Graduate School of Energy and Environment (JGSEE), King Mongkut's University of Technology Thonburi, 126 Pracha Uthit Road, Bangmod, Thungkru, Bangkok 10140, Thailand.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2020 Oct 6;17(19):7298. doi: 10.3390/ijerph17197298.

DOI:10.3390/ijerph17197298
PMID:33036260
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7578932/
Abstract

Multiple studies indicate that PM is the most deleterious air pollutant for which there are ambient air quality standards. Daily concentrations of PM in Bangkok, Thailand, continuously exceed the World Health Organization (WHO) and the Thai National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQSs). Bangkok has only recently begun to measure concentrations of PM To overcome this paucity of data, daily PM/PM ratios were generated over the period 2012-2018 to interpolate missing values. Concentration-response coefficients (β values) for PM versus non-accidental, cardiopulmonary, and lung cancer mortalities were derived from the literature. Values were also estimated and were found to be comparable to those reported in the literature for a Chinese population, but considerably lower than those reported in the literature from the United States. These findings strongly suggest that specific regional β values should be used to accurately quantify the number of premature deaths attributable to PM in Asian populations. Health burden analysis using the Environmental Benefits Mapping and Analysis Program (BenMAP) showed that PM concentration in Bangkok contributes to 4240 non-accidental, 1317 cardiopulmonary, and 370 lung cancer mortalities annually. Further analysis showed that the attainment of PM levels to the NAAQSs and WHO guideline would reduce annual premature mortality in Bangkok by 33%and 75%, respectively.

摘要

多项研究表明,PM 是对人体危害最大的空气污染物,因此它设有环境空气质量标准。泰国曼谷的 PM 日浓度持续超过世界卫生组织(WHO)和泰国国家环境空气质量标准(NAAQSs)。曼谷直到最近才开始测量 PM 的浓度。为了弥补数据的不足,研究期间(2012-2018 年)生成了 PM/PM 的日比值,以插值缺失值。从文献中得出了 PM 与非意外、心肺和肺癌死亡率的浓度反应系数(β 值)。还估算了这些值,发现与文献中报道的中国人群的值相当,但明显低于文献中报道的美国人群的值。这些发现强烈表明,应使用特定的区域β 值来准确量化亚洲人群因 PM 导致的过早死亡人数。使用环境效益制图和分析规划程序(BenMAP)进行的健康负担分析表明,曼谷的 PM 浓度导致每年 4240 例非意外死亡、1317 例心肺死亡和 370 例肺癌死亡。进一步的分析表明,将 PM 水平降低到 NAAQSs 和 WHO 指南将分别使曼谷的年度过早死亡率降低 33%和 75%。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e4b8/7578932/4624ded87bfa/ijerph-17-07298-g006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e4b8/7578932/0f0afb3eb2c4/ijerph-17-07298-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e4b8/7578932/4651e29f23e7/ijerph-17-07298-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e4b8/7578932/d93b23d19ad4/ijerph-17-07298-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e4b8/7578932/52a4fe7363e2/ijerph-17-07298-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e4b8/7578932/f99efcb6c624/ijerph-17-07298-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e4b8/7578932/4624ded87bfa/ijerph-17-07298-g006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e4b8/7578932/0f0afb3eb2c4/ijerph-17-07298-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e4b8/7578932/4651e29f23e7/ijerph-17-07298-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e4b8/7578932/d93b23d19ad4/ijerph-17-07298-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e4b8/7578932/52a4fe7363e2/ijerph-17-07298-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e4b8/7578932/f99efcb6c624/ijerph-17-07298-g005.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e4b8/7578932/4624ded87bfa/ijerph-17-07298-g006.jpg

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