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人类冠状病毒的全球季节性:一项系统综述

Global Seasonality of Human Coronaviruses: A Systematic Review.

作者信息

Park Sangshin, Lee Yeonjin, Michelow Ian C, Choe Young June

机构信息

Graduate School of Urban Public Health, University of Seoul, Seoul, Republic of Korea.

Department of Social Work and Social Administration, The University of Hong Kong, Pok Fu Lam, Hong Kong.

出版信息

Open Forum Infect Dis. 2020 Oct 18;7(11):ofaa443. doi: 10.1093/ofid/ofaa443. eCollection 2020 Nov.

Abstract

In the context of the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, we aimed to systematically address the global seasonal patterns of human coronavirus (HCoV) infections. We identified relevant articles from MEDLINE, EMBASE, and CINAHL Plus as of May 11, 2020. The main outcomes were the peak months of HCoV infections each year and the months during which more than 5% of positive respiratory specimen tests were attributable to HCoV. Of 707 articles reviewed, 22 met the inclusion criteria. The annual percentage of HCoV infections reached a peak in February globally. We found a higher HCoV positivity rate among studies that tested only children (median: 5.9%, range: 0.9%-18.4%), compared with other studies of adults alone (median: 5.2%, range: 3.3%-7.1%) or the entire population (median: 1.9%, range: 0.2%-8.1%). We found the largest global peak of HCoV during the winter season, with the highest rate of positivity among children.

摘要

在2019冠状病毒病大流行的背景下,我们旨在系统地研究人类冠状病毒(HCoV)感染的全球季节性模式。我们检索了截至2020年5月11日MEDLINE、EMBASE和CINAHL Plus数据库中的相关文章。主要结果是每年HCoV感染的高峰月份以及呼吸道标本检测阳性结果中超过5%归因于HCoV的月份。在707篇被审查的文章中,22篇符合纳入标准。全球范围内,HCoV感染的年百分比在2月达到峰值。我们发现,仅对儿童进行检测的研究中HCoV阳性率更高(中位数:5.9%,范围:0.9%-18.4%),而单独针对成人的其他研究(中位数:5.2%,范围:3.3%-7.1%)或针对全体人群的研究(中位数:1.9%,范围:0.2%-8.1%)中HCoV阳性率则较低。我们发现,HCoV在冬季出现全球范围内的最大高峰,儿童中的阳性率最高。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/d105/7651300/4ffcb30795f5/ofaa443_fig1.jpg

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