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人口老龄化、中位数年龄、预期寿命与冠状病毒病(COVID-19)死亡率之间的关联。

Association between ageing population, median age, life expectancy and mortality in coronavirus disease (COVID-19).

机构信息

Department of Sport Rehabilitation, Shanghai University of Sport, Shanghai, China.

Department of Rehabilitation Medicine, Shanghai Shangti Orthopaedic Hospital, Shanghai, China.

出版信息

Aging (Albany NY). 2020 Nov 24;12(24):24570-24578. doi: 10.18632/aging.104193.

DOI:10.18632/aging.104193
PMID:33232270
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7803535/
Abstract

As of May 5, 2020, the number of confirmed coronavirus disease (COVID-19) cases has been more than 3.5 million with 243,540 deaths. We aimed to determine the associations between ageing population, median age, life expectancy at birth and COVID-19 mortality. The numbers of COVID-19 cases and deaths in the European region were obtained from the World Health Organization database. The data on percentage of the population aged 65 and over, median age and life expectancy at birth were extracted from the World Factbook of Central Intelligence Agency. A total of 56 countries/areas in the Europe reported COVID-19 cases and deaths (1,121,853 cases and 100,938 deaths) on April 20, 2020. The results showed significant positive associations between COVID-19 mortality and ageing population (r =0.274; P =0.021), median age (r =0.255; P=0.029), male median age (r =0.284; P =0.017), female median age (r =0.224; P=0.049), life expectancy at birth (r =0.336; P=0.006), male life expectancy at birth (r =0.342; P=0.005), female life expectancy at birth (r =0.312; P=0.01) in the 56 European countries/areas. This study illustrated that COVID-19 mortality was positively associated with ageing population, median age, and life expectancy at birth.

摘要

截至 2020 年 5 月 5 日,已确诊的冠状病毒病(COVID-19)病例数超过 350 万例,死亡 243540 例。我们旨在确定人口老龄化、中位年龄、出生时预期寿命与 COVID-19 死亡率之间的关系。欧洲区域的 COVID-19 病例和死亡人数从世界卫生组织数据库中获得。从中央情报局的《世界概况》中提取了 65 岁及以上人口比例、中位年龄和出生时预期寿命的数据。2020 年 4 月 20 日,共有 56 个欧洲国家/地区报告了 COVID-19 病例和死亡(1121853 例和 100938 例死亡)。结果表明,COVID-19 死亡率与人口老龄化(r =0.274;P =0.021)、中位年龄(r =0.255;P=0.029)、男性中位年龄(r =0.284;P =0.017)、女性中位年龄(r =0.224;P=0.049)、出生时预期寿命(r =0.336;P=0.006)、男性出生时预期寿命(r =0.342;P=0.005)、女性出生时预期寿命(r =0.312;P=0.01)之间存在显著正相关。本研究表明,COVID-19 死亡率与人口老龄化、中位年龄和出生时预期寿命呈正相关。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ddad/7803535/8c54d8735714/aging-12-104193-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ddad/7803535/ef394dc06610/aging-12-104193-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ddad/7803535/dbfd4774dac5/aging-12-104193-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ddad/7803535/a5721fc98961/aging-12-104193-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ddad/7803535/8c54d8735714/aging-12-104193-g004.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ddad/7803535/ef394dc06610/aging-12-104193-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ddad/7803535/dbfd4774dac5/aging-12-104193-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ddad/7803535/a5721fc98961/aging-12-104193-g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ddad/7803535/8c54d8735714/aging-12-104193-g004.jpg

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