《基于 SARS-CoV-2 空气传播的新冠管理政策的影响:政策分析》。
The Impact of COVID-19 Management Policies Tailored to Airborne SARS-CoV-2 Transmission: Policy Analysis.
机构信息
Internal Control Center, Secretary of State for Education and Sport of Paraná, Curitiba, Brazil.
Mathematics Group, Department of Physics, Faculty of Science, Institute of Science, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, India.
出版信息
JMIR Public Health Surveill. 2021 Apr 21;7(4):e20699. doi: 10.2196/20699.
BACKGROUND
Daily new COVID-19 cases from January to April 2020 demonstrate varying patterns of SARS-CoV-2 transmission across different geographical regions. Constant infection rates were observed in some countries, whereas China and South Korea had a very low number of daily new cases. In fact, China and South Korea successfully and quickly flattened their COVID-19 curve. To understand why this was the case, this paper investigated possible aerosol-forming patterns in the atmosphere and their relationship to the policy measures adopted by select countries.
OBJECTIVE
The main research objective was to compare the outcomes of policies adopted by countries between January and April 2020. Policies included physical distancing measures that in some cases were associated with mask use and city disinfection. We investigated whether the type of social distancing framework adopted by some countries (ie, without mask use and city disinfection) led to the continual dissemination of SARS-CoV-2 (daily new cases) in the community during the study period.
METHODS
We examined the policies used as a preventive framework for virus community transmission in some countries and compared them to the policies adopted by China and South Korea. Countries that used a policy of social distancing by 1-2 m were divided into two groups. The first group consisted of countries that implemented social distancing (1-2 m) only, and the second comprised China and South Korea, which implemented distancing with additional transmission/isolation measures using masks and city disinfection. Global daily case maps from Johns Hopkins University were used to provide time-series data for the analysis.
RESULTS
The results showed that virus transmission was reduced due to policies affecting SARS-CoV-2 propagation over time. Remarkably, China and South Korea obtained substantially better results than other countries at the beginning of the epidemic due to their adoption of social distancing (1-2 m) with the additional use of masks and sanitization (city disinfection). These measures proved to be effective due to the atmosphere carrier potential of SARS-CoV-2 transmission.
CONCLUSIONS
Our findings confirm that social distancing by 1-2 m with mask use and city disinfection yields positive outcomes. These strategies should be incorporated into prevention and control policies and be adopted both globally and by individuals as a method to fight the COVID-19 pandemic.
背景
2020 年 1 月至 4 月期间,每日新增的新型冠状病毒肺炎病例在不同地理区域呈现出不同的 SARS-CoV-2 传播模式。一些国家的感染率持续居高不下,而中国和韩国的每日新增病例数则非常低。事实上,中国和韩国成功且迅速地控制了新冠疫情的传播。为了了解其成功的原因,本文研究了大气中气溶胶形成模式及其与部分国家所采取的政策措施之间的关系。
目的
本研究的主要目的是比较 2020 年 1 月至 4 月期间各国所采取的政策措施的结果。政策措施包括物理距离措施,在某些情况下还包括使用口罩和城市消毒。我们调查了一些国家所采用的社会隔离框架的类型(即不使用口罩和城市消毒)是否导致在研究期间社区中持续传播 SARS-CoV-2(每日新增病例)。
方法
我们研究了一些国家用于预防社区病毒传播的政策措施,并将其与中国和韩国所采取的政策措施进行了比较。将采用 1-2 米社会距离政策的国家分为两组。第一组由仅实施社会距离(1-2 米)的国家组成,第二组由中国和韩国组成,它们实施了距离隔离措施,并使用口罩和城市消毒来进行额外的传播/隔离。约翰·霍普金斯大学的全球每日病例图用于提供分析的时间序列数据。
结果
结果表明,随着时间的推移,影响 SARS-CoV-2 传播的政策措施减少了病毒的传播。值得注意的是,由于采用了 1-2 米的社会距离隔离措施,并额外使用口罩和消毒(城市消毒),中国和韩国在疫情初期取得了比其他国家更好的结果。由于 SARS-CoV-2 传播的大气载体潜力,这些措施被证明是有效的。
结论
我们的研究结果证实,1-2 米的社会距离隔离加上使用口罩和城市消毒可产生积极的结果。这些策略应纳入预防和控制政策中,并在全球范围内和个人层面上被采用,作为抗击 COVID-19 大流行的方法。