School of Information Science and Engineering, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110004, China.
School of Management, Hangzhou Dianzi University, Hangzhou 310018, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2021 Aug 14;18(16):8595. doi: 10.3390/ijerph18168595.
Population aging poses challenges to the immature elderly care service system in many countries. The strategic behaviors of different participants in the provision of elderly care services in a long-term and dynamic situation have not been well studied. In this paper, an evolutionary game model is developed to analyze the strategic behaviors of two types of participants-the government sectors and the private sectors in provision of elderly care services. Firstly, eight scenarios are analyzed, and the evolutionary process and stable strategies are identified. Then, the behavioral strategies of the two types of participants under demand disturbance and dynamic subsidy strategy are analyzed. Simulation experiments are conducted to explore the influence of different initial conditions and parameter changes on the evolutionary process and results. The obtained observations are not only conducive to a systematic understanding of the long-term dynamic provision of elderly care services but also to the policymaking of the government.
人口老龄化给许多国家尚未成熟的养老服务体系带来挑战。在长期动态情况下,不同参与者提供养老服务的战略行为尚未得到很好的研究。本文构建了一个演化博弈模型,用以分析长期动态情况下提供养老服务的两类参与者——政府部门和私营部门的战略行为。首先,分析了八种情景,确定了演化过程和稳定策略。然后,分析了需求扰动和动态补贴策略下两类参与者的行为策略。通过仿真实验,探讨了不同初始条件和参数变化对演化过程和结果的影响。研究结果不仅有助于系统地理解长期动态的养老服务提供,还有助于政府的决策。