Wang Haijun, Xu Chi, Liu Ying, Jeppesen Erik, Svenning Jens-Christian, Wu Jianguo, Zhang Wenxia, Zhou Tianjun, Wang Puze, Nangombe Shingirai, Ma Jinge, Duan Hongtao, Fang Jingyun, Xie Ping
Institute for Ecological Research and Pollution Control of Plateau Lakes, School of Ecology and Environmental Science, Yunnan University, Kunming, China.
School of Life Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China.
Innovation (Camb). 2021 Feb 11;2(2):100092. doi: 10.1016/j.xinn.2021.100092. eCollection 2021 May 28.
The recent mass mortality event of more than 330 African elephants in Botswana has been attributed to biotoxins produced by cyanobacteria; however, scientific evidence for this is lacking. Here, by synthesizing multiple sources of data, we show that, during the past decades, the widespread hypertrophic waters in Southern Africa have entailed an extremely high risk and frequent exposure of cyanotoxins to the wildlife within this area, which functions as a hotspot of mammal species richness. The hot and dry climatic extremes have most likely acted as the primary trigger of the recent and perhaps also of prehistoric mass mortality events. As such climate extremes are projected to become more frequent in Southern Africa in the near future, there is a risk that similar tragedies may take place, rendering African megafauna species, especially those that are already endangered, in risk of extinction. Moreover, cyanotoxin poisoning amplified by climate change may have unexpected cascading effects on human societies. Seen within this perspective, the tragic mass death of the world's largest terrestrial mammal species serves as an alarming early warning signal of future environmental catastrophes in Southern Africa. We suggest that systematic, quantitative cyanotoxin risk assessments are made and precautionary actions to mitigate the risks are taken without hesitation to ensure the health and sustainability of the megafauna and human societies within the region.
博茨瓦纳近期发生的330多头非洲象大规模死亡事件被归因于蓝藻产生的生物毒素;然而,目前缺乏相关科学证据。在此,通过综合多种数据来源,我们发现,在过去几十年里,南部非洲广泛存在的富营养化水域使该地区的野生动物面临极高的蓝藻毒素风险且频繁接触到蓝藻毒素,而该地区是哺乳动物物种丰富度的热点地区。炎热干燥的极端气候极有可能是近期乃至史前大规模死亡事件的主要触发因素。鉴于预计此类极端气候在不久的将来在南部非洲会更加频繁,存在类似悲剧可能发生的风险,这会使非洲大型动物物种,尤其是那些已经濒危的物种,面临灭绝风险。此外,气候变化加剧的蓝藻毒素中毒可能会对人类社会产生意想不到的连锁反应。从这个角度来看,世界上最大的陆地哺乳动物物种的悲惨大规模死亡是南部非洲未来环境灾难的一个惊人早期预警信号。我们建议进行系统的、定量的蓝藻毒素风险评估,并毫不犹豫地采取预防措施来降低风险,以确保该地区大型动物和人类社会的健康与可持续性。