Epidemiology of Ocular Malignancies Among the Lebanese Population: A 12-Year Review.

Purpose Our article aims to assess the epidemiology of eye cancer in Lebanon and compare it with other regions worldwide and to study its future trends among Lebanese males and females. Methods Data on eye cancer cases from 2005 to 2016 were obtained from the Lebanese National Cancer Registry (NCR). Age-specific rates, crude rates, and age-standardized rates (ASRs) were subsequently calculated. Joinpoint was used to determine the changes in the slope of trends. A projection for the next 14 years was predicted using linear and logarithmic regression models. Results Among all tumors, eye cancer ranked 40 in females and 41 in males. The eye cancer ASR was 0.24 and 0.22 per 100,000 in males and females, respectively. However, the mean age of eye cancer was 31.94 years in males and 22.04 years in females. The cumulative risk between 0 and 74 years was 0.02%. From 2004 till 2016, a negative trend of eye cancer was observed, with a parallelism of trends between males and females. Age-specific rates showed a bimodal distribution in males. The first cluster was witnessed in the age group of 0-4 years and the second one in those above 50. An additional cluster of distribution was observed in females between 35 and 44 years of age. Forecasts for the next 14 years revealed a steady rate of eye cancer incidence of about 0.2 per 100,000. Moreover, Lebanon showed a relatively low eye cancer ASR compared to other regions worldwide, especially Zimbabwe with 5.8 and 4.8 per 100,000 in females and males, respectively. Conclusion Ocular malignancies showed a negative trend of incidence. A 14-year projection predicts a steady incidence rate in Lebanon and worldwide. Eye cancer seems to be affected by many risk factors. Future efforts are needed for a better understanding of the disease and a better outcome.