He Ying, Hu Bin, Zhu Chengzhan, Xu Wenjian, Ge Yaqiong, Hao Xiwei, Dong Bingzi, Chen Xin, Dong Qian, Zhou Xianjun
Department of Pediatric Surgery, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China.
Department of Radiology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University, Qingdao, China.
Front Oncol. 2022 Mar 7;12:745258. doi: 10.3389/fonc.2022.745258. eCollection 2022.
To explore a new model to predict the prognosis of liver cancer based on MRI and CT imaging data.
A retrospective study of 103 patients with histologically proven hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was conducted. Patients were randomly divided into training (n = 73) and validation (n = 30) groups. A total of 1,217 radiomics features were extracted from regions of interest on CT and MR images of each patient. Univariate Cox regression, Spearman's correlation analysis, Pearson's correlation analysis, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox analysis were used for feature selection in the training set, multivariate Cox proportional risk models were established to predict disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS), and the models were validated using validation cohort data. Multimodal radiomics scores, integrating CT and MRI data, were applied, together with clinical risk factors, to construct nomograms for individualized survival assessment, and calibration curves were used to evaluate model consistency. Harrell's concordance index (C-index) values were calculated to evaluate the prediction performance of the models.
The radiomics score established using CT and MR data was an independent predictor of prognosis (DFS and OS) in patients with HCC ( < 0.05). Prediction models illustrated by nomograms for predicting prognosis in liver cancer were established. Integrated CT and MRI and clinical multimodal data had the best predictive performance in the training and validation cohorts for both DFS [(C-index (95% CI): 0.858 (0.811-0.905) and 0.704 (0.563-0.845), respectively)] and OS [C-index (95% CI): 0.893 (0.846-0.940) and 0.738 (0.575-0.901), respectively]. The calibration curve showed that the multimodal radiomics model provides greater clinical benefits.
Multimodal (MRI/CT) radiomics models can serve as effective visual tools for predicting prognosis in patients with liver cancer. This approach has great potential to improve treatment decisions when applied for preoperative prediction in patients with HCC.
探索一种基于MRI和CT成像数据预测肝癌预后的新模型。
对103例经组织学证实为肝细胞癌(HCC)的患者进行回顾性研究。患者被随机分为训练组(n = 73)和验证组(n = 30)。从每位患者的CT和MR图像的感兴趣区域提取了总共1217个放射组学特征。在训练集中使用单因素Cox回归、Spearman相关性分析、Pearson相关性分析和最小绝对收缩和选择算子Cox分析进行特征选择,建立多因素Cox比例风险模型以预测无病生存期(DFS)和总生存期(OS),并使用验证队列数据对模型进行验证。应用整合CT和MRI数据的多模态放射组学评分,结合临床危险因素,构建用于个体化生存评估的列线图,并使用校准曲线评估模型一致性。计算Harrell一致性指数(C-index)值以评估模型的预测性能。
使用CT和MR数据建立的放射组学评分是HCC患者预后(DFS和OS)的独立预测因子(<0.05)。建立了以列线图表示的预测肝癌预后的预测模型。整合CT和MRI以及临床多模态数据在训练和验证队列中对DFS [C-index(95%CI):分别为0.858(0.811 - 0.905)和0.704(0.563 - 0.845)]和OS [C-index(95%CI):分别为0.893(0.846 - 0.940)和0.738(0.575 - 0.901)]均具有最佳预测性能。校准曲线表明多模态放射组学模型具有更大的临床益处。
多模态(MRI/CT)放射组学模型可作为预测肝癌患者预后的有效可视化工具。当应用于HCC患者的术前预测时,这种方法在改善治疗决策方面具有巨大潜力。