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美国新冠肺炎疫情、流动性与劳动力市场结果的全景观察

Bird's Eye View of COVID-19, Mobility, and Labor Market Outcomes Across the US.

作者信息

Füleky Péter, Szapudi István

机构信息

UHERO and Department of Economics, University of Hawai'i at Mānoa, 2424 Maile Way, Honolulu, HI 96816 USA.

Institute for Astronomy, University of Hawai'i at Mānoa, 2680 Woodlawn Drive, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA.

出版信息

Econ Disaster Clim Chang. 2022;6(2):339-353. doi: 10.1007/s41885-022-00110-0. Epub 2022 Apr 8.

DOI:10.1007/s41885-022-00110-0
PMID:35434497
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8992422/
Abstract

COVID-19 dealt a formidable blow to the US economy. We present a joint analysis of the epidemiological and labor market outcomes across US states. We focus on the relationship across relevant indicators in the pre-vaccination era. As expected, we find strong correlation between changes in economic conditions and mobility. However, mobility fluctuations tend to be uncorrelated with local epidemics and occur simultaneously across most states. The magnitude of the mobility response is highly correlated with the rural vs. urban character of the area. Employment losses are most strongly associated with high population density and concentration of the leisure and hospitality industry. The relationship between job losses and the case fatality ratio is affected by the timing of the most severe COVID-19 waves.

摘要

新冠疫情给美国经济带来了巨大冲击。我们对美国各州的流行病学和劳动力市场结果进行了联合分析。我们关注疫苗接种前时代相关指标之间的关系。不出所料，我们发现经济状况变化与流动性之间存在很强的相关性。然而，流动性波动往往与局部疫情无关，且在大多数州同时发生。流动性反应的幅度与该地区的城乡特征高度相关。就业损失与高人口密度以及休闲和酒店业的集中程度关联最为紧密。失业与病死率之间的关系受到新冠疫情最严重浪潮发生时间的影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c069/8992422/b16df98de214/41885_2022_110_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c069/8992422/603b6c396cbc/41885_2022_110_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c069/8992422/4235ff5f644f/41885_2022_110_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c069/8992422/9b49b25a2c6f/41885_2022_110_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c069/8992422/b16df98de214/41885_2022_110_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c069/8992422/603b6c396cbc/41885_2022_110_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c069/8992422/4235ff5f644f/41885_2022_110_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c069/8992422/9b49b25a2c6f/41885_2022_110_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c069/8992422/b16df98de214/41885_2022_110_Fig4_HTML.jpg

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