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中国区域 CO 排放的极化趋势及其影响。

The Polarizing Trend of Regional CO Emissions in China and Its Implications.

机构信息

The Bartlett School of Sustainable Construction, University College London, London, WC1E 7HB, U.K.

Center for Energy, Environment & Economy Research, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450001, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Technol. 2023 Mar 21;57(11):4406-4414. doi: 10.1021/acs.est.2c08052. Epub 2023 Feb 28.

Abstract

CO emissions are unevenly distributed both globally and regionally within nation-states. Given China's entrance into the new stage of economic development, an updated study on the largest CO emitter's domestic emission distribution is needed for effective and coordinated global CO mitigation planning. We discovered that domestic CO emissions in China are increasingly polarized for the 2007-2017 period. Specifically, the domestically exported CO emissions from the less developed and more polluting northwest region to the rest of China has drastically increased from 165 Mt in 2007 to 230 Mt in 2017. We attribute the polarizing trend to the simultaneous industrial upgrading of all regions and the persistent disparity in the development and emission decoupling of China's regions. We also noted that CO emissions exported from China to the rest of the world has decreased by 41% from 2007 to 2017, with other developing countries filling up the vacancy. As this trend is set to intensify, we intend to send an alarm message to policy makers to devise and initiate actions and avoid the continuation of pollution migration.

摘要

碳排放在全球范围内和国家内部的地区间分布不均。考虑到中国进入了经济发展的新阶段,需要对全球最大的碳排放国国内排放分布进行最新研究,以便为有效的、协调一致的全球 CO2减排规划提供参考。我们发现,2007 年至 2017 年期间,中国国内的碳排放呈两极化趋势。具体来说,欠发达和污染程度较高的西北地区向中国其他地区输出的国内碳排放从 2007 年的 1.65 亿吨激增至 2017 年的 2.30 亿吨。我们认为这种两极化趋势是由于所有地区同时进行产业升级,以及中国各地区发展和排放脱钩的持续差距所致。我们还注意到,2007 年至 2017 年期间,中国向世界其他地区出口的 CO2排放量减少了 41%,其他发展中国家填补了这一空缺。随着这一趋势的加剧,我们打算向政策制定者发出警报,促使他们制定并采取行动,避免污染转移的持续。

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