Hu Jingjing, Yu Luhua, Yang Zongming, Qiu Jie, Li Jing, Shen Peng, Lin Hongbo, Shui Liming, Tang Mengling, Jin Mingjuan, Chen Kun, Wang Jianbing
Department of Public Health, and Department of Endocrinology of the Children's Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, National Clinical Research Center for Children's Health, Hangzhou 310058, China.
West China School of Public Health and West China Fourth Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China.
Toxics. 2023 Aug 24;11(9):727. doi: 10.3390/toxics11090727.
We investigated the association of long-term exposure to atmospheric PM with non-accidental and cause-specific mortality in Yinzhou, China. From July 2015 to January 2018, a total of 29,564 individuals aged ≥ 40 years in Yinzhou were recruited for a prospective cohort study. We used the Cox proportional-hazards model to analyze the relationship of the 2-year average concentration of PM prior to the baseline with non-accidental and cause-specific mortality. The median PM concentration was 36.51 μg/m (range: 25.57-45.40 μg/m). In model 4, the hazard ratios per 10 μg/m increment in PM were 1.25 (95%CI: 1.04-1.50) for non-accidental mortality and 1.38 (95%CI:1.02-1.86) for cardiovascular disease mortality. We observed no associations between PM and deaths from respiratory disease or cancer. In the subgroup analysis, interactions were observed between PM and age, as well as preventive measures on hazy days. The observed association between long-term exposure to atmospheric PM at a relatively moderate concentration and the risk of non-accidental and cardiovascular disease mortality among middle-aged and elderly Chinese adults could provide evidence for government decision-makers to revise environmental policies towards a more stringent standard.
我们在中国鄞州调查了长期暴露于大气细颗粒物(PM)与非意外及特定病因死亡率之间的关联。2015年7月至2018年1月,鄞州共有29564名年龄≥40岁的个体被纳入一项前瞻性队列研究。我们使用Cox比例风险模型分析基线前2年PM平均浓度与非意外及特定病因死亡率之间的关系。PM浓度中位数为36.51μg/m³(范围:25.57 - 45.40μg/m³)。在模型4中,PM每增加10μg/m³,非意外死亡率的风险比为1.25(95%置信区间:1.04 - 1.50),心血管疾病死亡率的风险比为1.38(95%置信区间:1.02 - 1.86)。我们未观察到PM与呼吸系统疾病或癌症死亡之间存在关联。在亚组分析中,观察到PM与年龄以及雾霾天预防措施之间存在交互作用。在中国中老年成年人中,长期暴露于相对中等浓度的大气PM与非意外及心血管疾病死亡风险之间的关联,可为政府决策者修订环境政策以达到更严格标准提供依据。