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全球综合分析表明,基线漂移综合征普遍存在。

Global synthesis indicates widespread occurrence of shifting baseline syndrome.

作者信息

Soga Masashi, Gaston Kevin J

机构信息

Graduate School of Agricultural and Life Sciences at the University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.

Environment and Sustainability Institute at the University of Exeter, Penryn, England, United Kingdom.

出版信息

Bioscience. 2024 Aug 23;74(10):686-694. doi: 10.1093/biosci/biae068. eCollection 2024 Oct.

Abstract

As environmental degradation continues at local, regional, and global levels, people's accepted norms for natural environmental conditions are likely to decline. This phenomenon, known as shifting baseline syndrome (SBS), is increasingly recognized as a likely major obstacle to addressing global environmental challenges. However, the prevalence of SBS remains uncertain. We conducted an extensive systematic review, synthesizing existing research on people's perceived environmental baselines. Our analysis, based on 73 case studies, suggests that SBS is a widespread global phenomenon, occurring across diverse socioeconomic, environmental, and cultural settings. We observed that younger individuals tend to hold lower environmental baselines across various environmental contexts, including climate change, natural resource depletion, biodiversity loss, and pollution. An upward shift in perceived environmental baselines among younger generations was rarely observed. These results underscore the challenge that SBS poses when policy and management responses to environmental degradation are influenced by perceived natural environmental norms.

摘要

随着环境退化在地方、区域和全球层面持续加剧,人们对自然环境状况的公认标准可能会下降。这种被称为基线位移综合征(SBS)的现象,越来越被视为应对全球环境挑战的一个可能的主要障碍。然而,SBS的普遍程度仍不确定。我们进行了广泛的系统综述,综合了关于人们感知到的环境基线的现有研究。我们基于73个案例研究的分析表明,SBS是一种广泛存在的全球现象,发生在不同的社会经济、环境和文化背景中。我们观察到,在包括气候变化、自然资源枯竭、生物多样性丧失和污染在内的各种环境背景下,年轻人往往持有较低的环境基线。在年轻一代中,很少观察到感知到的环境基线向上移动。这些结果凸显了在政策和管理对环境退化的应对受到感知到的自然环境规范影响时,SBS所带来的挑战。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a6da/11494512/c0b2253f3dbb/biae068fig1.jpg

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