Distribution-based detection of radiographic changes in pneumonia patterns: A COVID-19 case study.

Although the classification of chest radiographs has long been an extensively researched topic, interest increased significantly with the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Existing results are promising; however, the radiological similarities between COVID-19 and other types of respiratory diseases limit the success of conventional image classification approaches that focus on single instances. This study proposes a novel perspective that conceptualizes COVID-19 pneumonia as a deviation from a normative distribution of typical pneumonia patterns. Using a population-based approach, our approach utilizes distributional anomaly detection. This method diverges from traditional instance-wise approaches by focusing on sets of scans instead of individual images. Using an autoencoder to extract feature representations, we present instance-based and distribution-based assessments of the separability between COVID-positive and COVID-negative pneumonia radiographs. The results demonstrate that the proposed distribution-based methodology outperforms conventional instance-based techniques in identifying radiographic changes associated with COVID-positive cases. This underscores its potential as an early warning system capable of detecting significant distributional shifts in radiographic data. By continuously monitoring these changes, this approach offers a mechanism for early identification of emerging health trends, potentially signaling the onset of new pandemics and enabling prompt public health responses.