Liu Yitong, Han Baodi
School of Stomatology, Jinan University, Guangzhou, 510630, Guangdong, China.
Chengguan District, No. 82, Cuiying Gate, The Second Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou City, Gansu, 730000, China.
BMC Cancer. 2025 Aug 16;25(1):1322. doi: 10.1186/s12885-025-14768-8.
Lip and oral cavity cancer (LOCC) is one of the most common malignancies among the elderly, facing challenges such as insufficient early diagnosis, difficulties in late-stage treatment, and a propensity for metastasis and recurrence, which contribute to poor prognoses. However, there remains a lack of systematic analyses regarding the global, regional, and national burden of LOCC specifically within the elderly population.
This study utilized data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 database, including age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR), age-standardized prevalence rates (ASPR), age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR), and age-standardized disability-adjusted life years (ASDR). A comprehensive analysis was conducted on the burden of LOCC among the elderly across the globe, five social development index (SDI) regions, 21 GBD regions, and 204 countries, examining current status, trends, future projections, and attributable risk factors.
From 1990 to 2021, the burden of LOCC among the elderly significantly increased, although the growth trend has slowed in recent years. By 2021, the ASIR for LOCC was 23.13 per 100,000, the ASPR was 72.19 per 100,000, the ASMR was 12.57 per 100,000, and the ASDR was 253.10 per 100,000 years. With increasing SDI, both ASIR and ASPR continued to rise, while ASMR and ASDR exhibited a gradual decline. The absolute and relative health inequalities between different countries have gradually diminished. The burden of disease increased with age for both males and females, with males experiencing a higher burden than females. Projections indicate that from 2022 to 2050, the ASR for LOCC will continue to rise. Major risk factors identified for LOCC include chewing tobacco, high alcohol consumption, and smoking.
Since 1990, the burden of LOCC among the elderly has consistently increased, and this trend is expected to continue in the future, despite a slowdown in the rate of increase in recent years. Furthermore, the burden of this disease exhibits a degree of inequality based on age, gender, and region.
唇癌和口腔癌(LOCC)是老年人中最常见的恶性肿瘤之一,面临早期诊断不足、晚期治疗困难以及转移和复发倾向等挑战,这些因素导致预后不良。然而,目前仍缺乏针对老年人群中LOCC全球、区域和国家负担的系统分析。
本研究利用了全球疾病负担(GBD)2021数据库的数据,包括年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)、年龄标准化患病率(ASPR)、年龄标准化死亡率(ASMR)和年龄标准化伤残调整生命年(ASDR)。对全球、五个社会发展指数(SDI)区域、21个GBD区域和204个国家的老年人中LOCC的负担进行了全面分析,考察了现状、趋势、未来预测以及可归因的风险因素。
从1990年到2021年,老年人中LOCC的负担显著增加,尽管近年来增长趋势有所放缓。到2021年,LOCC的ASIR为每10万人23.13例,ASPR为每10万人72.19例,ASMR为每10万人12.57例,ASDR为每10万人年253.10例。随着SDI的增加,ASIR和ASPR持续上升,而ASMR和ASDR则逐渐下降。不同国家之间的绝对和相对健康不平等逐渐减少。男性和女性的疾病负担均随年龄增长而增加,男性的负担高于女性。预测表明,从2022年到2050年,LOCC的年龄标准化率将继续上升。确定的LOCC主要风险因素包括咀嚼烟草、高酒精消费和吸烟。
自1990年以来,老年人中LOCC的负担持续增加,尽管近年来增速有所放缓,但预计未来这一趋势仍将持续。此外,该疾病的负担在年龄、性别和地区方面存在一定程度的不平等。