Hoel D G
Environ Health Perspect. 1979 Oct;32:25-30. doi: 10.1289/ehp.793225.
The problem of quantitatively estimating human cancer risk based upon animal carcinogenesis studies is reviewed. Mathematical functions for dose-response relationships are discussed with particular emphasis on multistage models. These models are based upon a single cell somatic mutation theory for the carcinogenesis process. It is shown that the multistage model and others which incorporate background additively are well approximated in low dose region by a linear function. The relationship between time-to-tumor and the multistage model is indicated. This relationship is important when dealing with less than life time exposure such as with data from many occupational studies. Design of bioassay experiments and its impact on risk estimation is noted. Finally, the problem of species-to-species extrapolation is considered.
本文综述了基于动物致癌研究对人类癌症风险进行定量评估的问题。讨论了剂量反应关系的数学函数,特别强调了多阶段模型。这些模型基于致癌过程的单细胞体细胞突变理论。结果表明,多阶段模型和其他将背景相加的模型在低剂量区域可以很好地用线性函数近似。指出了肿瘤发生时间与多阶段模型之间的关系。在处理如许多职业研究数据那样的非终生暴露情况时,这种关系很重要。提到了生物测定实验的设计及其对风险评估的影响。最后,考虑了种间外推的问题。