Roberts I, Norton R, Jackson R, Dunn R, Hassall I
Injury Prevention Research Centre, Department of Community Health, Auckland, New Zealand.
BMJ. 1995 Jan 14;310(6972):91-4. doi: 10.1136/bmj.310.6972.91.
To identify and assess contribution of environmental risk factors for injury of child pedestrians by motor vehicles.
Community based case-control study. Environmental characteristics of sites of child pedestrian injury were compared with the environmental characteristics of selected comparison sites. Each comparison site was the same distance and direction from home of control child as was the injury site from home or relevant case child. Two control sites were selected for each injury site.
Auckland region of New Zealand.
Cases were 190 child pedestrians aged < 15 who were killed or hospitalised after collision with a motor vehicle on a public road during two years and two months. Controls were 380 children randomly sampled from population and frequency matched for age and sex.
Traffic volume and speed and level of parking on curbs at injury sites and comparison sites.
Risk of injury of child pedestrians was strongly associated with traffic volume: risk of injury at sites with highest traffic volumes was 14 times greater than that at least busy sites (odds ratio 14.30; 95% confidence interval 6.98 to 29.20), and risk increased with increasing traffic volume. High density of curb parking was also associated with increased risk (odds ratio 8.12; 3.32 to 19.90). Risk was increased at sites with mean speeds over 40 km/h (odds ratio 2.68; 1.26 to 5.69), although risk did not increase further with increasing speed.
Reducing traffic volume in urban areas could significantly reduce rates of child pedestrian injury. Restricting curb parking may also be effective.
识别并评估机动车导致儿童行人受伤的环境危险因素的作用。
基于社区的病例对照研究。将儿童行人受伤地点的环境特征与选定的对照地点的环境特征进行比较。每个对照地点与对照儿童家的距离和方向,与受伤地点与相关病例儿童家的距离和方向相同。每个受伤地点选择两个对照地点。
新西兰奥克兰地区。
病例为190名15岁以下的儿童行人,他们在两年零两个月内在公共道路上与机动车碰撞后死亡或住院。对照是从人群中随机抽取的380名儿童,按年龄和性别进行频率匹配。
受伤地点和对照地点的交通流量、速度以及路边停车水平。
儿童行人受伤风险与交通流量密切相关:交通流量最高的地点的受伤风险比最不繁忙地点的受伤风险高14倍(优势比14.30;95%置信区间6.98至29.20),且风险随交通流量增加而增加。路边停车密度高也与风险增加相关(优势比8.12;3.32至19.90)。平均速度超过40公里/小时的地点风险增加(优势比2.68;1.26至5.69),不过风险并未随着速度进一步增加而上升。
减少城市地区的交通流量可显著降低儿童行人受伤率。限制路边停车也可能有效。