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切尔诺贝利事故后德国巴伐利亚州先天性畸形的出生患病率。

Birth prevalence of congenital malformations in Bavaria, Germany, after the Chernobyl accident.

作者信息

Irl C, Schoetzau A, van Santen F, Grosche B

机构信息

Institute for Radiation Hygiene, Federal Office for Radiation Protection, Neuherberg, Germany.

出版信息

Eur J Epidemiol. 1995 Dec;11(6):621-5. doi: 10.1007/BF01720294.

Abstract

This study considers whether or not exposure to radioactive fallout from the Chernobyl accident led to an increased prevalence of congenital malformations in infants born in Bavaria, the German state with the highest levels of contamination after the accident. The odds ratios for major malformations after the accident relative to before were used as indicators for adverse health effects. Since measurements of caesium in soil showed that contamination was considerably higher in Southern Bavaria than in Northern Bavaria, the odds ratios were calculated for both regions separately. Analysis did not show a significant increase in any of the odds ratios of the selected malformations in Southern Bavaria as compared to Northern Bavaria. Consequently, this study provides no evidence that radiation from Chernobyl caused an increase in the birth prevalence of major congenital malformations.

摘要

本研究探讨了接触切尔诺贝利事故的放射性沉降物是否导致巴伐利亚州出生的婴儿先天性畸形患病率增加。巴伐利亚州是事故后德国污染程度最高的州。事故后与事故前主要畸形的比值比被用作健康不良影响的指标。由于土壤中铯的测量表明,巴伐利亚南部的污染程度明显高于北部,因此分别计算了两个地区的比值比。分析表明,与巴伐利亚北部相比,巴伐利亚南部所选畸形的任何比值比均未显著增加。因此,本研究没有证据表明切尔诺贝利的辐射导致主要先天性畸形的出生患病率增加。

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