Peto J, Doll R, Howard S V, Kinlen L J, Lewinsohn H C
Br J Ind Med. 1977 Aug;34(3):169-73. doi: 10.1136/oem.34.3.169.
The previous report on this cohort study of workers in an asbestos textile factory (Knox et al., 1968) showed little evidence of increased mortality among workers who had entered the factory after the implementation in 1932 of the first Asbestos Industry Regulation (1931) but observed that no firm conclusions could be drawn, as little carcinogenic effect would be expected for 20 years after first exposure. A further 8 1/2 years of follow-up has revealed some asbestos-related disease in this latter group, although very much less than for employees first exposed before 1933. Among the 963 workers first exposed in 1933 or later, mortality was increased for carcinoma of the bronchus (31 deaths; 19-3 expected for all lung cancers) and non-malignant respiratory disease (35 deaths, 25-0 expected), and a further 5 deaths were attributed to pleural mesothelioma.
此前关于这家石棉纺织厂工人队列研究的报告(诺克斯等人,1968年)显示,在1932年首部《石棉行业条例》(1931年)实施后进入工厂的工人中,几乎没有证据表明死亡率增加,但指出无法得出确凿结论,因为首次接触后20年内预计致癌作用很小。又经过8年半的随访,在这后一组工人中发现了一些与石棉相关的疾病,尽管比1933年之前首次接触的员工少得多。在1933年或之后首次接触的963名工人中,支气管癌死亡率增加(31例死亡;所有肺癌预期为19 - 3例),非恶性呼吸道疾病死亡率增加(35例死亡,预期为25 - 0例),另有5例死亡归因于胸膜间皮瘤。