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2003年北京的SARS超级传播事件。

Superspreading SARS events, Beijing, 2003.

作者信息

Shen Zhuang, Ning Fang, Zhou Weigong, He Xiong, Lin Changying, Chin Daniel P, Zhu Zonghan, Schuchat Anne

机构信息

Department of Emergency Response, Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Beijing, China.

出版信息

Emerg Infect Dis. 2004 Feb;10(2):256-60. doi: 10.3201/eid1002.030732.

Abstract

Superspreading events were pivotal in the global spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS). We investigated superspreading in one transmission chain early in Beijing's epidemic. Superspreading was defined as transmission of SARS to at least eight contacts. An index patient with onset of SARS 2 months after hospital admission was the source of four generations of transmission to 76 case-patients, including 12 healthcare workers and several hospital visitors. Four (5%) case circumstances met the superspreading definition. Superspreading appeared to be associated with older age (mean 56 vs. 44 years), case fatality (75% vs. 16%, p = 0.02, Fisher exact test), number of close contacts (36 vs. 0.37) and attack rate among close contacts (43% vs. 18.5%, p < 0.025). Delayed recognition of SARS in a hospitalized patient permitted transmission to patients, visitors, and healthcare workers. Older age and number of contacts merit investigation in future studies of superspreading.

摘要

超级传播事件在严重急性呼吸综合征(SARS)的全球传播中起关键作用。我们调查了北京疫情早期一个传播链中的超级传播情况。超级传播被定义为SARS传播给至少8名接触者。一名在入院2个月后出现SARS症状的指示病例是四代传播的源头,传播给了76名病例患者,包括12名医护人员和几名医院访客。有4例(5%)病例情况符合超级传播的定义。超级传播似乎与年龄较大(平均56岁对44岁)、病死率(75%对16%,p = 0.02,Fisher精确检验)、密切接触者数量(36对0.37)以及密切接触者中的感染率(43%对18.5%,p < 0.025)有关。一名住院患者的SARS被延迟识别,导致病毒传播给了患者、访客和医护人员。在未来关于超级传播的研究中,年龄较大和接触者数量值得调查。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6805/3322930/3ecadb8df0f0/03-0732-F1.jpg

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