• 文献检索
  • 文档翻译
  • 深度研究
  • 学术资讯
  • Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件
  • 邀请有礼
  • 套餐&价格
  • 历史记录
应用&插件
Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件浏览器插件Mac 客户端Windows 客户端微信小程序
定价
高级版会员购买积分包购买API积分包
服务
文献检索文档翻译深度研究API 文档MCP 服务
关于我们
关于 Suppr公司介绍联系我们用户协议隐私条款
关注我们

Suppr 超能文献

核心技术专利:CN118964589B侵权必究
粤ICP备2023148730 号-1Suppr @ 2026

文献检索

告别复杂PubMed语法,用中文像聊天一样搜索,搜遍4000万医学文献。AI智能推荐,让科研检索更轻松。

立即免费搜索

文件翻译

保留排版,准确专业,支持PDF/Word/PPT等文件格式,支持 12+语言互译。

免费翻译文档

深度研究

AI帮你快速写综述,25分钟生成高质量综述,智能提取关键信息,辅助科研写作。

立即免费体验

员工接种疫苗以减轻流感疫情的计算机模拟。

A computer simulation of employee vaccination to mitigate an influenza epidemic.

机构信息

University of Pittsburgh, 200 Meyran Avenue, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, USA.

出版信息

Am J Prev Med. 2010 Mar;38(3):247-57. doi: 10.1016/j.amepre.2009.11.009. Epub 2009 Dec 30.

DOI:10.1016/j.amepre.2009.11.009
PMID:20042311
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2833347/
Abstract

BACKGROUND

Better understanding the possible effects of vaccinating employees is important and can help policymakers and businesses plan vaccine distribution and administration logistics, especially with the current H1N1 influenza vaccine in short supply.

PURPOSE

This article aims to determine the effects of varying vaccine coverage, compliance, administration rates, prioritization, and timing among employees during an influenza pandemic.

METHODS

As part of the H1N1 influenza planning efforts of the Models of Infectious Disease Agent Study network, an agent-based computer simulation model was developed for the Washington DC metropolitan region, encompassing five metropolitan statistical areas. Each simulation run involved introducing 100 infectious individuals to initiate a 1.3 reproductive-rate (R(0)) epidemic, consistent with H1N1 parameters to date. Another set of scenarios represented a R(0)=1.6 epidemic.

RESULTS

An unmitigated epidemic resulted in substantial productivity losses (a mean of $112.6 million for a serologic 15% attack rate and $193.8 million for a serologic 25% attack rate), even with the relatively low estimated mortality impact of H1N1. Although vaccinating Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices-defined priority groups resulted in the largest savings, vaccinating all remaining workers captured additional savings and, in fact, reduced healthcare workers' and critical infrastructure workers' chances of infection. Moreover, although employee vaccination compliance affected the epidemic, once 20% compliance was achieved, additional increases in compliance provided less incremental benefit. Even though a vast majority of the workplaces in the DC metropolitan region had fewer than 100 employees, focusing on vaccinating only those in larger firms (> or =100 employees) was just as effective in mitigating the epidemic as trying to vaccinate employees in all workplaces.

CONCLUSIONS

Timely vaccination of at least 20% of the large-company workforce can play an important role in epidemic mitigation.

摘要

背景

更好地了解为员工接种疫苗可能产生的影响很重要,这有助于政策制定者和企业规划疫苗分发和管理工作,尤其是在当前 H1N1 流感疫苗供应短缺的情况下。

目的

本文旨在确定在流感大流行期间为员工接种疫苗时,不同疫苗覆盖率、接种率、管理率、优先级和时间安排的影响。

方法

作为传染病agent 研究网络 H1N1 流感规划工作的一部分,我们为华盛顿特区大都市区(包含五个大都市统计区)开发了一个基于 agent 的计算机模拟模型。每次模拟运行涉及向系统中引入 100 名传染性个体,以引发 1.3 代(R(0))的传染病流行,与迄今为止的 H1N1 参数一致。另一组情景代表 R(0)=1.6 的传染病流行。

结果

在未采取缓解措施的情况下,即使 H1N1 的估计死亡率影响相对较低,仍会导致严重的生产力损失(血清学 15%发病率的平均损失为 1.126 亿美元,血清学 25%发病率的平均损失为 1.938 亿美元)。尽管为免疫接种咨询委员会(Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices,ACIP)定义的优先群体接种疫苗可节省最多的费用,但为所有剩余员工接种疫苗可节省更多的费用,并且实际上降低了医护人员和关键基础设施工作人员的感染几率。此外,尽管员工接种疫苗的依从性会影响传染病流行,但一旦达到 20%的依从性,增加更多的依从性只会带来较少的增量效益。尽管华盛顿特区大都市区的大多数工作场所的员工人数少于 100 人,但集中为大型企业(员工人数>或=100 人)接种疫苗与试图为所有工作场所的员工接种疫苗一样,在缓解传染病方面同样有效。

结论

及时为至少 20%的大型企业员工接种疫苗,可以在传染病缓解方面发挥重要作用。

相似文献

1
A computer simulation of employee vaccination to mitigate an influenza epidemic.员工接种疫苗以减轻流感疫情的计算机模拟。
Am J Prev Med. 2010 Mar;38(3):247-57. doi: 10.1016/j.amepre.2009.11.009. Epub 2009 Dec 30.
2
Vaccination deep into a pandemic wave potential mechanisms for a "third wave" and the impact of vaccination.大流行浪潮中的疫苗接种:“第三波”的潜在机制和疫苗接种的影响。
Am J Prev Med. 2010 Nov;39(5):e21-9. doi: 10.1016/j.amepre.2010.07.014.
3
A computer simulation of vaccine prioritization, allocation, and rationing during the 2009 H1N1 influenza pandemic.2009 年 H1N1 流感大流行期间疫苗的优先级排序、分配和配给的计算机模拟。
Vaccine. 2010 Jul 12;28(31):4875-9. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2010.05.002. Epub 2010 May 16.
4
Effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of vaccination against pandemic influenza (H1N1) 2009.接种 2009 年大流行性流感(H1N1)疫苗的效果和成本效益。
Ann Intern Med. 2009 Dec 15;151(12):829-39. doi: 10.7326/0003-4819-151-12-200912150-00157.
5
Use of an inactivated vaccine in mitigating pandemic influenza A(H1N1) spread: a modelling study to assess the impact of vaccination timing and prioritisation strategies.使用灭活疫苗减轻大流行性流感 A(H1N1)传播:评估疫苗接种时机和优先排序策略影响的建模研究。
Euro Surveill. 2009 Oct 15;14(41):19356.
6
Strategies for pandemic and seasonal influenza vaccination of schoolchildren in the United States.美国学童大流行和季节性流感疫苗接种策略。
Am J Epidemiol. 2009 Sep 15;170(6):679-86. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwp237. Epub 2009 Aug 13.
7
Use of influenza A (H1N1) 2009 monovalent vaccine: recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP), 2009.2009年甲型H1N1流感单价疫苗的使用:免疫实践咨询委员会(ACIP)的建议,2009年
MMWR Recomm Rep. 2009 Aug 28;58(RR-10):1-8.
8
Simulating school closure strategies to mitigate an influenza epidemic.模拟学校关闭策略以减轻流感疫情
J Public Health Manag Pract. 2010 May-Jun;16(3):252-61. doi: 10.1097/PHH.0b013e3181ce594e.
9
Universal influenza vaccination and live attenuated influenza vaccination of children.儿童的通用流感疫苗接种和减毒活流感疫苗接种。
Pediatr Infect Dis J. 2008 Oct;27(10 Suppl):S104-9. doi: 10.1097/INF.0b013e318168b729.
10
Improving influenza vaccination rates in the workplace: a randomized trial.提高工作场所流感疫苗接种率:一项随机试验。
Am J Prev Med. 2010 Mar;38(3):237-46. doi: 10.1016/j.amepre.2009.11.011. Epub 2009 Dec 24.

引用本文的文献

1
Improving COVID-19 vaccination centre operation through computer modelling and simulation.通过计算机建模与模拟改善新冠病毒疫苗接种中心的运营
Health Syst (Basingstoke). 2024 Apr 9;14(1):43-57. doi: 10.1080/20476965.2024.2339817. eCollection 2025.
2
Pathogen-microbiome interactions and the virulence of an entomopathogenic fungus.病原体-微生物组相互作用与一种昆虫病原真菌的毒力。
Appl Environ Microbiol. 2024 Jun 18;90(6):e0229323. doi: 10.1128/aem.02293-23. Epub 2024 May 24.
3
Security or severity? A research of COVID-19 pandemic control policy based on nonlinear programming approach.

本文引用的文献

1
Synthesized Population Databases: A US Geospatial Database for Agent-Based Models.合成人口数据库:用于基于智能体模型的美国地理空间数据库。
Methods Rep RTI Press. 2009 May 1;2009(10):905. doi: 10.3768/rtipress.2009.mr.0010.0905.
2
Response to a monovalent 2009 influenza A (H1N1) vaccine.对单价 2009 流感 A(H1N1)疫苗的反应。
N Engl J Med. 2009 Dec 17;361(25):2405-13. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa0907413. Epub 2009 Sep 10.
3
The transmissibility and control of pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus.大流行性流感 A(H1N1)病毒的传播和控制。
安全还是严峻性?基于非线性规划方法的新冠疫情防控政策研究
Heliyon. 2023 Nov 7;9(11):e21080. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e21080. eCollection 2023 Nov.
4
THE INTERGENERATIONAL MORTALITY TRADE-OFF OF COVID-19 LOCKDOWN POLICIES.新冠疫情封锁政策的代际死亡率权衡
Int Econ Rev (Philadelphia). 2022 Apr 24. doi: 10.1111/iere.12574.
5
The Transmission, Infection Prevention, and Control during the COVID-19 Pandemic in China: A Retrospective Study.中国 COVID-19 大流行期间的传播、感染预防和控制:一项回顾性研究。
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Mar 5;19(5):3074. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19053074.
6
Strategies for Vaccine Prioritization and Mass Dispensing.疫苗优先排序和大规模分发策略。
Vaccines (Basel). 2021 May 14;9(5):506. doi: 10.3390/vaccines9050506.
7
Predicting the second wave of COVID-19 in Washtenaw County, MI.预测密歇根州 Washtenaw 县的第二波 COVID-19 疫情。
J Theor Biol. 2020 Dec 21;507:110461. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2020.110461. Epub 2020 Aug 29.
8
Predicting the second wave of COVID-19 in Washtenaw County, MI.预测密歇根州沃什特瑙县新冠疫情的第二波高峰。
medRxiv. 2020 Jul 7:2020.07.06.20147223. doi: 10.1101/2020.07.06.20147223.
9
A Framework for Network-Based Epidemiological Modeling of Tuberculosis Dynamics Using Synthetic Datasets.基于合成数据集的结核病动力学网络流行病学建模框架。
Bull Math Biol. 2020 Jun 13;82(6):78. doi: 10.1007/s11538-020-00752-9.
10
The Potential Health Care Costs And Resource Use Associated With COVID-19 In The United States.美国 COVID-19 相关的潜在医疗保健成本和资源利用
Health Aff (Millwood). 2020 Jun;39(6):927-935. doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.2020.00426. Epub 2020 Apr 23.
Science. 2009 Oct 30;326(5953):729-33. doi: 10.1126/science.1177373. Epub 2009 Sep 10.
4
Use of influenza A (H1N1) 2009 monovalent vaccine: recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP), 2009.2009年甲型H1N1流感单价疫苗的使用:免疫实践咨询委员会(ACIP)的建议,2009年
MMWR Recomm Rep. 2009 Aug 28;58(RR-10):1-8.
5
Prevention and control of seasonal influenza with vaccines: recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP), 2009.《用疫苗预防和控制季节性流感:免疫实践咨询委员会(ACIP)的建议,2009年》
MMWR Recomm Rep. 2009 Jul 31;58(RR-8):1-52.
6
Pandemic potential of a strain of influenza A (H1N1): early findings.甲型H1N1流感病毒株的大流行潜力:早期发现。
Science. 2009 Jun 19;324(5934):1557-61. doi: 10.1126/science.1176062. Epub 2009 May 11.
7
Estimating influenza vaccine efficacy from challenge and community-based study data.根据攻毒试验和基于社区的研究数据估算流感疫苗效力
Am J Epidemiol. 2008 Dec 15;168(12):1343-52. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwn259. Epub 2008 Oct 29.
8
Estimating the impact of school closure on influenza transmission from Sentinel data.根据哨点数据评估学校关闭对流感传播的影响。
Nature. 2008 Apr 10;452(7188):750-4. doi: 10.1038/nature06732.
9
Modeling targeted layered containment of an influenza pandemic in the United States.美国流感大流行的目标分层防控建模
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2008 Mar 25;105(12):4639-44. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0706849105. Epub 2008 Mar 10.
10
Vaccines for preventing influenza in healthy adults.用于预防健康成年人流感的疫苗。
Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2007 Apr 18(2):CD001269. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD001269.pub3.