School of Hotel and Tourism Management, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, 17 Science Museum Road, TST East, Kowloon, Hong Kong SAR, China,
J Gambl Stud. 2014 Sep;30(3):757-70. doi: 10.1007/s10899-013-9390-9.
Gambling is a leisure activity, which is enjoyed by many people around the world. Among these people, Chinese are known for their high propensity to gamble and are highly sought after by many casinos. In this exploratory study, the effect of two types of fallacy bias-positive recency and negative recency-on the betting behavior of Chinese gamblers is investigated. Although the influence of fallacy bias on a betting decision is well documented, little is known about the interaction of the factors that dictate fallacy bias. Drawing from an analysis of 2,645 betting decisions, the results show that Chinese gamblers primarily endorse positive recency, especially when the latest outcome is more frequent. This is contrary to most findings on Western subjects in which negative recency is more common. Current findings have meaningful implications to casino gaming entertainment businesses and public policymakers.
赌博是一种休闲活动，深受世界各地许多人的喜爱。在这些人中，中国人以其极高的赌博倾向而闻名，深受许多赌场的青睐。在这项探索性研究中，我们调查了两种谬误偏差——正近因偏差和负近因偏差——对中国赌徒的投注行为的影响。尽管谬误偏差对投注决策的影响已有充分的记录，但对于决定谬误偏差的因素之间的相互作用却知之甚少。通过对 2645 个投注决策的分析，结果表明，中国赌徒主要支持正近因偏差，尤其是当最新结果更频繁出现时。这与大多数针对西方受试者的研究结果相反，后者更常见的是负近因偏差。目前的研究结果对赌场娱乐业务和公共政策制定者具有重要意义。
