Yarritu Ion, Matute Helena, Vadillo Miguel A
Universidad de Deusto, <location>Bilbao, Spain</location>
University College London, <location>UK</location>
Exp Psychol. 2014 Jan 1;61(1):38-47. doi: 10.1027/1618-3169/a000225.
The illusion of control consists of overestimating the influence that our behavior exerts over uncontrollable outcomes. Available evidence suggests that an important factor in development of this illusion is the personal involvement of participants who are trying to obtain the outcome. The dominant view assumes that this is due to social motivations and self-esteem protection. We propose that this may be due to a bias in contingency detection which occurs when the probability of the action (i.e., of the potential cause) is high. Indeed, personal involvement might have been often confounded with the probability of acting, as participants who are more involved tend to act more frequently than those for whom the outcome is irrelevant and therefore become mere observers. We tested these two variables separately. In two experiments, the outcome was always uncontrollable and we used a yoked design in which the participants of one condition were actively involved in obtaining it and the participants in the other condition observed the adventitious cause-effect pairs. The results support the latter approach: Those acting more often to obtain the outcome developed stronger illusions, and so did their yoked counterparts.
控制错觉是指高估我们的行为对不可控结果所产生的影响。现有证据表明,这种错觉形成的一个重要因素是试图获得结果的参与者的个人参与度。主流观点认为,这是由于社会动机和自尊保护。我们认为,这可能是由于在行动(即潜在原因)的概率较高时出现的偶然性检测偏差。事实上,个人参与度可能经常与行动概率混淆,因为参与度较高的参与者往往比那些认为结果无关紧要、因此只是旁观者的参与者行动更频繁。我们分别对这两个变量进行了测试。在两项实验中,结果始终是不可控的,我们采用了配对设计,其中一种条件下的参与者积极参与获取结果,另一种条件下的参与者观察偶然的因果对。结果支持了后一种方法:那些为了获得结果而更频繁行动的人产生了更强的错觉,他们的配对对象也是如此。