Sports Science Department of University of Trás-os-Montes and Alto Douro , Vila Real, Portugal ; CETAV, Research Centre , Vila Real, Portugal.
J Sports Sci Med. 2007 Mar 1;6(1):117-25. eCollection 2007.
to identify the factors which are able to explain the performance in the 200 meters individual medley and 400 meters front crawl events in young swimmers, to model the performance in those events using non-linear mathematic methods through artificial neural networks (multi-layer perceptrons) and to assess the neural network models precision to predict the performance. A sample of 138 young swimmers (65 males and 73 females) of national level was submitted to a test battery comprising four different domains: kinanthropometric evaluation, dry land functional evaluation (strength and flexibility), swimming functional evaluation (hydrodynamics, hydrostatic and bioenergetics characteristics) and swimming technique evaluation. To establish a profile of the young swimmer non-linear combinations between preponderant variables for each gender and swim performance in the 200 meters medley and 400 meters font crawl events were developed. For this purpose a feed forward neural network was used (Multilayer Perceptron) with three neurons in a single hidden layer. The prognosis precision of the model (error lower than 0.8% between true and estimated performances) is supported by recent evidence. Therefore, we consider that the neural network tool can be a good approach in the resolution of complex problems such as performance modeling and the talent identification in swimming and, possibly, in a wide variety of sports. Key pointsThe non-linear analysis resulting from the use of feed forward neural network allowed us the development of four performance models.The mean difference between the true and estimated results performed by each one of the four neural network models constructed was low.The neural network tool can be a good approach in the resolution of the performance modeling as an alternative to the standard statistical models that presume well-defined distributions and independence among all inputs.The use of neural networks for sports sciences application allowed us to create very realistic models for swimming performance prediction based on previous selected criterions that were related with the dependent variable (performance).
为了确定能够解释青少年游泳运动员 200 米个人混合泳和 400 米自由泳成绩的因素,我们使用非线性数学方法(人工神经网络,多层感知器)对这些项目的成绩进行建模,并评估神经网络模型预测成绩的准确性。从国家一级的 138 名青少年游泳运动员(65 名男性和 73 名女性)中抽取样本,进行四项不同领域的测试:人体测量学评估、旱地功能评估(力量和柔韧性)、游泳功能评估(流体力学、静水力学和生物能量学特征)和游泳技术评估。为了建立青少年游泳运动员的非线性格式,对每个性别和 200 米混合泳和 400 米自由泳的游泳成绩进行了优先变量之间的非线性组合。为此,我们使用了前馈神经网络(多层感知器),其中包含一个单隐藏层中的三个神经元。该模型的预测精度(真实表现与估计表现之间的误差低于 0.8%)得到了最近证据的支持。因此,我们认为神经网络工具可以很好地解决复杂问题,如表现建模和游泳人才识别,并且可能在各种运动中都有很好的应用。关键点:使用前馈神经网络进行的非线性分析使我们能够开发四个表现模型。每个构建的四个神经网络模型的真实结果和估计结果之间的平均差异较小。神经网络工具可以作为标准统计模型的替代方案,用于解决表现建模问题,标准统计模型假设所有输入之间具有明确定义的分布和独立性。神经网络在运动科学中的应用使我们能够根据先前与因变量(表现)相关的选定标准创建非常现实的游泳表现预测模型。