Zhu Jin-Zhou, Zhou Qin-Yi, Wang Yu-Ming, Dai Yi-Ning, Zhu Jiang, Yu Chao-Hui, Li You-Ming
Jin-Zhou Zhu, Yu-Ming Wang, Yi-Ning Dai, Chao-Hui Yu, You-Ming Li, Department of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310003, Zhejiang Province, China.
World J Gastroenterol. 2015 May 14;21(18):5695-706. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v21.i18.5695.
To investigate the relationship between the economy and the adult prevalence of fatty liver disease (FLD) in mainland China.
Literature searches on the PubMed and Chinese National Knowledge Infrastructure databases were performed to identify eligible studies published before July 2014. Records were limited to cross-sectional surveys or baseline surveys of longitudinal studies that reported the adult prevalence of FLD and recruited subjects from the general population or community. The gross domestic product (GDP) per capita was chosen to assess the economic status. Multiple linear regression and Loess regression were chosen to fit the data and calculate the 95%CIs. Fitting and overfitting of the models were considered in choosing the appropriate models.
There were 27 population-based surveys from 26 articles included in this study. The pooled mean prevalence of FLD in China was 16.73% (95%CI: 13.92%-19.53%). The prevalence of FLD was correlated with the GDP per capita and survey years in the country (adjusted R (2) = 0.8736, P GDP per capita = 0.00426, P years = 0.0000394), as well as in coastal areas (R (2) = 0.9196, P GDP per capita = 0.00241, P years = 0.00281). Furthermore, males [19.28% (95%CI: 15.68%-22.88%)] presented a higher prevalence than females [14.1% (95%CI: 11.42%-16.61%), P = 0.0071], especially in coastal areas [21.82 (95%CI: 17.94%-25.71%) vs 17.01% (95%CI: 14.30%-19.89%), P = 0.0157]. Finally, the prevalence was predicted to reach 20.21% in 2020, increasing at a rate of 0.594% per year.
This study reveals a correlation between the economy and the prevalence of FLD in mainland China.
探讨中国大陆地区经济状况与成人脂肪肝疾病(FLD)患病率之间的关系。
在PubMed和中国知网数据库中进行文献检索,以识别2014年7月之前发表的符合条件的研究。记录限于横断面调查或纵向研究的基线调查,这些研究报告了成人FLD患病率,并从普通人群或社区招募受试者。选择人均国内生产总值(GDP)来评估经济状况。选择多元线性回归和局部加权回归(Loess回归)来拟合数据并计算95%置信区间(CIs)。在选择合适的模型时考虑了模型的拟合和过度拟合情况。
本研究纳入了来自26篇文章的27项基于人群的调查。中国FLD的合并平均患病率为16.73%(95%CI:13.92%-19.53%)。FLD患病率与该国的人均GDP和调查年份相关(调整后R² = 0.8736,P人均GDP = 0.00426,P年份 = 0.0000394),在沿海地区也是如此(R² = 0.9196,P人均GDP = 0.00241,P年份 = 0.00281)。此外,男性患病率[19.28%(95%CI:15.68%-22.88%)]高于女性[14.1%(95%CI:11.42%-16.61%),P = 0.0071]),在沿海地区尤为明显[21.82(95%CI:17.94%-25.71%)对17.01%(95%CI:14.30%-19.89%),P = 0.0157]。最后,预计到2020年患病率将达到20.21%,年增长率为0.594%。
本研究揭示了中国大陆地区经济状况与FLD患病率之间的相关性。