Ishikawa Tetsuo, Yasumura Seiji, Ozasa Kotaro, Kobashi Gen, Yasuda Hiroshi, Miyazaki Makoto, Akahane Keiichi, Yonai Shunsuke, Ohtsuru Akira, Sakai Akira, Sakata Ritsu, Kamiya Kenji, Abe Masafumi
Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University.
Department of Epidemiology, Radiation Effects Research Foundation. 5-2 Hijiyama Park, Minami-ku, Hiroshima City, 732-0815 Japan.
Sci Rep. 2015 Aug 4;5:12712. doi: 10.1038/srep12712.
The Fukushima Health Management Survey (including the Basic Survey for external dose estimation and four detailed surveys) was launched after the Fukushima Dai-ichi Nuclear Power Plant accident. The Basic Survey consists of a questionnaire that asks Fukushima Prefecture residents about their behavior in the first four months after the accident; and responses to the questionnaire have been returned from many residents. The individual external doses are estimated by using digitized behavior data and a computer program that included daily gamma ray dose rate maps drawn after the accident. The individual external doses of 421,394 residents for the first four months (excluding radiation workers) had a distribution as follows: 62.0%, <1 mSv; 94.0%, <2 mSv; 99.4%, <3 mSv. The arithmetic mean and maximum for the individual external doses were 0.8 and 25 mSv, respectively. While most dose estimation studies were based on typical scenarios of evacuation and time spent inside/outside, the Basic Survey estimated doses considering individually different personal behaviors. Thus, doses for some individuals who did not follow typical scenarios could be revealed. Even considering such extreme cases, the estimated external doses were generally low and no discernible increased incidence of radiation-related health effects is expected.
福岛健康管理调查(包括用于外部剂量估算的基础调查和四项详细调查)在福岛第一核电站事故后启动。基础调查包括一份问卷,询问福岛县居民在事故发生后头四个月的行为;许多居民已返回了对问卷的答复。通过使用数字化行为数据和一个计算机程序来估算个人外部剂量,该程序包括事故后绘制的每日伽马射线剂量率地图。421394名居民(不包括辐射工作人员)头四个月的个人外部剂量分布如下:62.0%,<1毫希沃特;94.0%,<2毫希沃特;99.4%,<3毫希沃特。个人外部剂量的算术平均值和最大值分别为0.8和25毫希沃特。虽然大多数剂量估算研究基于典型的疏散情景以及在室内/室外停留的时间,但基础调查在估算剂量时考虑了个人不同的行为。因此,可以揭示一些未遵循典型情景的个人的剂量。即使考虑到此类极端情况,估算的外部剂量总体上较低,预计不会出现明显的与辐射相关的健康影响发病率增加的情况。