Vuolo Mike, Kelly Brian C, Kadowaki Joy
Mike Vuolo is with the Department of Sociology, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH. Brian C. Kelly and Joy Kadowaki are with the Department of Sociology, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN.
Am J Public Health. 2016 Feb;106(2):374-80. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2015.302968. Epub 2015 Dec 21.
We examined the mutual effects of smoking bans and taxes on smoking among a longitudinal cohort of young adults.
We combined a repository of US tobacco policies at the state and local level with the nationally representative geocoded National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1997 (2004-2011) from ages 19 to 31 years and Census data, to examine the impact of tobacco policies on any current and daily pack smoking. The analytic sample amounts to 19,668 observations among 4341 individuals within 487 cities.
For current smoking, we found significant effects for comprehensive smoking bans, but not excise taxes. We also found an interaction effect, with bans being most effective in locales with no or low taxes. For daily pack smoking, we found significant effects for taxes, but limited support for bans.
Social smoking among young adults is primarily inhibited by smoking bans, but excise taxes only deter such smoking in the absence of a ban. Heavy smokers are primarily deterred by taxes. Although both policies have an impact on young adult smoking behaviors, their dual presence does not intensify each policy's efficacy.
我们在一个年轻成年人的纵向队列中研究了禁烟令和税收对吸烟的相互影响。
我们将州和地方层面的美国烟草政策库与具有全国代表性的、按地理编码的1997年全国青年纵向调查(2004 - 2011年,年龄范围为19至31岁)以及人口普查数据相结合,以研究烟草政策对当前任何形式吸烟和每日整包吸烟的影响。分析样本包括487个城市中4341名个体的19668条观测数据。
对于当前吸烟情况,我们发现全面禁烟令有显著影响,但消费税没有。我们还发现了一种交互作用,即禁令在无税或低税地区最为有效。对于每日整包吸烟情况,我们发现税收有显著影响,但对禁令的支持有限。
年轻人中的社交性吸烟主要受到禁烟令的抑制,但消费税仅在没有禁令的情况下才能阻止此类吸烟行为。重度吸烟者主要受到税收的抑制。虽然这两项政策都对年轻人的吸烟行为有影响,但它们同时存在并不会增强各自政策的效力。