Aburto José Manuel, Beltrán-Sánchez Hiram, García-Guerrero Victor Manuel, Canudas-Romo Vladimir
José Manuel Aburto is a Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research fellow at the European Doctoral School of Demography, Sapienza University, in Rome, Italy.
Hiram Beltrán-Sánchez (
Health Aff (Millwood). 2016 Jan;35(1):88-95. doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.2015.0068.
Life expectancy in Mexico increased for more than six decades but then stagnated in the period 2000-10. This decade was characterized by the enactment of a major health care reform-the implementation of the Seguro Popular de Salud (Popular Health Insurance), which was intended to provide coverage to the entire Mexican population-and by an unexpected increase in homicide mortality. We assessed the impact on life expectancy of conditions amenable to medical service-those sensitive to public health policies and changes in behaviors, homicide, and diabetes-by analyzing mortality trends at the state level. We found that life expectancy among males deteriorated from 2005 to 2010, compared to increases from 2000 to 2005. Females in most states experienced small gains in life expectancy between 2000 and 2010. The unprecedented rise in homicides after 2005 led to a reversal in life expectancy increases among males and a slowdown among females in most states in the first decade of the twenty-first century.
墨西哥的预期寿命在六十多年里持续增长,但在2000年至2010年期间停滞不前。这十年的特点是实施了一项重大医疗改革——推行大众健康保险(Seguro Popular de Salud),旨在覆盖全体墨西哥人口,同时凶杀死亡率意外上升。我们通过分析州一级的死亡率趋势,评估了可通过医疗服务改善的状况(即那些对公共卫生政策和行为变化敏感的状况)、凶杀以及糖尿病对预期寿命的影响。我们发现,与2000年至2005年期间预期寿命上升相比,2005年至2010年期间男性的预期寿命有所下降。在2000年至2010年期间,大多数州的女性预期寿命略有增加。2005年后凶杀案前所未有的增加导致二十一世纪第一个十年中大多数州男性预期寿命增长出现逆转,女性预期寿命增长放缓。