Meara J, McPherson K, Roberts M, Jones L, Vessey M
University of Oxford Department of Community Medicine and General Practice, Radcliffe Infirmary, UK.
Br J Cancer. 1989 Jul;60(1):70-3. doi: 10.1038/bjc.1989.222.
The results of two case-control studies of breast cancer which included questions on exposure to tobacco and alcohol are reported. One study included 998 hospital cases and a like number of matched hospital controls while the other included 118 cases identified during mammographic screening and a like number of matched normal screenees. Both studies used the same questionnaires and the same methods to obtain information. The results with regard to cigarette smoking differed between the two studies. The hospital-based study showed a decreased risk of breast cancer with increasing amounts smoked (relative risk for 15 or more cigarettes per day was 0.82, 95% confidence interval 0.60-1.13) while the screening study showed an increased risk (relative risk for 15 or more cigarettes per day was 2.90, 95% confidence interval 1.16-7.25). Evidence is presented that both results may be attributable to bias in the selection of cases and controls. It is concluded that reliable results on the relationship between smoking and breast cancer are only likely to come from population-based studies. These studies, in general, have found no relationship. Neither study produced any hint of an association between alcohol consumption and breast cancer. From this, it appears that bias in subject selection may not be such a significant factor in interpretation of studies of alcohol and breast cancer as it is in studies of smoking and the disease. A number of other difficulties in the interpretation of studies of alcohol and breast cancer are considered, including the great variation in the amount of alcohol consumed. It is concluded that the assertion that alcohol is a risk factor for breast cancer remains unproven.
本文报告了两项乳腺癌病例对照研究的结果,这些研究涵盖了关于烟草和酒精暴露的问题。一项研究纳入了998例医院病例以及数量相当的配对医院对照,另一项研究纳入了在乳房X光筛查中发现的118例病例以及数量相当的配对正常筛查对象。两项研究均使用相同的问卷和相同的方法来获取信息。两项研究中关于吸烟的结果有所不同。基于医院的研究显示,随着吸烟量增加,患乳腺癌的风险降低(每天吸15支或更多香烟的相对风险为0.82,95%置信区间为0.60 - 1.13),而筛查研究显示风险增加(每天吸15支或更多香烟的相对风险为2.90,95%置信区间为1.16 - 7.25)。有证据表明,这两种结果可能都归因于病例和对照选择中的偏差。得出的结论是,关于吸烟与乳腺癌关系的可靠结果可能仅来自基于人群的研究。总体而言,这些研究未发现两者之间存在关联。两项研究均未显示出饮酒与乳腺癌之间存在关联的任何迹象。由此看来,在解释饮酒与乳腺癌的研究时,受试者选择偏差可能不像在吸烟与该疾病的研究中那样是一个重要因素。文中还考虑了在解释饮酒与乳腺癌研究时的一些其他困难,包括饮酒量的巨大差异。得出的结论是,关于酒精是乳腺癌风险因素的断言仍未得到证实。