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贸易开放度对韩国的环境有益吗?非化石电力消费的作用。

Is trade openness good for environment in South Korea? The role of non-fossil electricity consumption.

机构信息

School of Business, Luoyang Normal University, Luoyang, Henan, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2018 Apr;25(10):9510-9522. doi: 10.1007/s11356-018-1264-3. Epub 2018 Jan 21.

Abstract

The paper investigates the linkage of carbon dioxide (CO) emissions, per capita real output, share of non-fossil electricity consumption, and trade openness in South Korea from 1971 to 2013. The empirical results indicate that the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) is supported by autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) test. Both short- and long-run estimates indicate that increasing non-fossil electricity consumption can mitigate environmental degradation, and increasing trade aggravates carbon dioxide emissions. By Granger causality, long-run causalities are found in both equations of CO emissions and trade openness, as well as exports and imports. In the short-run, evidence indicates feedback linkage between output and trade, unidirectional linkages from trade to emissions, from emissions to output, and from output to non-fossil electricity use. Therefore, South Korea should strengthen the sustainable economy, consume clean energy, and develop green trade.

摘要

本文研究了 1971 年至 2013 年期间韩国二氧化碳(CO)排放、人均实际产出、非化石能源消费份额和贸易开放度之间的联系。实证结果表明,自回归分布滞后(ARDL)检验支持环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)。短期和长期估计都表明,增加非化石能源消费可以减轻环境恶化,而增加贸易则会加剧二氧化碳排放。通过格兰杰因果关系检验,在 CO 排放和贸易开放度以及出口和进口的两个方程中都发现了长期因果关系。在短期内,证据表明产出和贸易之间存在反馈关系,贸易对排放、排放对产出以及产出对非化石能源利用之间存在单向关系。因此,韩国应该加强可持续经济,消费清洁能源,发展绿色贸易。

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