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德国非正式和正式护理偏好以及提供老年护理的预期意愿:一项混合方法研究的方案。

Informal and formal care preferences and expected willingness of providing elderly care in Germany: protocol for a mixed-methods study.

机构信息

Center for Health Economics Research Hannover (CHERH), Leibniz University of Hannover, Hannover, Germany.

Health Services Research Unit, AOK Niedersachsen, Hannover, Germany.

出版信息

BMJ Open. 2019 Jan 15;9(1):e023253. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2018-023253.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

In Germany, the number of elderly people in need of care is expected to increase from 2.4 million in 2015 to 3.2 million in 2030. The subsequent rise in demand for long-term care facilities is unlikely to be met by the current care structures and available staff. Additionally, many Germans still prefer to be cared for at home for as long as possible. In light of recent changes, such as increasing employment rates of women and growing geographical distances of family members, informal caregiving becomes more challenging in the future. The aim of this study is to explore preferences for informal and formal care services in the German general population, as well as the expected willingness of providing elderly care.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

A mixed-methods approach will be used to explore care preferences and expected willingness of providing elderly care in the German general population. A systematic literature review will be performed to provide an overview of the current academic literature on the topic. Qualitative interviews will be conducted with informal caregivers, care consultants and people with no prior caregiving experiences. A labelled discrete choice experiment will be designed and conducted to quantitatively measure the preferences for informal and formal care in the German general population. People between 18 and 65 years of age will be recruited in cooperation with a (regional) statutory health insurance (AOK Lower Saxony). A mixed multinomial logit regression model and a latent class finite mixture model will be used to analyse the data and test for subgroup differences in care preferences.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The study has been approved by the Committee for Clinical Ethics of the Medical School in Hannover. Data will be treated confidential to ensure the participants' anonymity. The results will be discussed and disseminated to relevant stakeholders in the field.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

DRKS00012266.

摘要

简介

在德国,需要护理的老年人数量预计将从 2015 年的 240 万增加到 2030 年的 320 万。随之而来的对长期护理设施的需求增长不太可能被当前的护理结构和可用的员工所满足。此外,许多德国人仍然更喜欢尽可能长时间地在家中得到照顾。鉴于最近的变化,如女性就业率的提高和家庭成员之间地理距离的增长,未来非正式护理将变得更加具有挑战性。本研究旨在探讨德国普通人群对非正式和正式护理服务的偏好,以及提供老年护理的预期意愿。

方法和分析

本研究将采用混合方法来探讨德国普通人群对非正式和正式护理服务的偏好,以及提供老年护理的预期意愿。将进行系统文献综述,以提供关于该主题的当前学术文献概述。将对非正式护理者、护理顾问和没有先前护理经验的人进行定性访谈。将设计和开展有标签的离散选择实验,以定量衡量德国普通人群对非正式和正式护理的偏好。将与(地区)法定健康保险公司(AOK 下萨克森州)合作,招募 18 至 65 岁的人群。将使用混合多项逻辑回归模型和潜在类别有限混合模型来分析数据,并测试护理偏好的亚组差异。

伦理和传播

该研究已获得汉诺威医学院临床伦理委员会的批准。将对数据进行保密处理,以确保参与者的匿名性。将讨论和传播研究结果给相关利益相关者。

注册号

DRKS00012266。

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